*(RdR: how about using Marine Cloud Brightening for this additional
effect?) <https://phys.org/news/2025-06-dangerous-cyclones.html>*

phys.org /news/2025-06-dangerous-cyclones.html
<https://phys.org/news/2025-06-dangerous-cyclones.html> Study finds
airborne particles can reduce cyclone intensity in early stages Australian
National University 13/06/2025
------------------------------
[image: Taking the wind out of dangerous cyclones]
Schematic diagram showing the effects of coarse and fine aerosols on: (a,
c) microstructure; and (b, d) dynamics of the vortex. (a) and (c) are a
subset of (b) and (d), respectively. Credit: *Journal of Geophysical
Research: Atmospheres* (2025). DOI: 10.1029/2024JD041600

Aerosols could hold the key to stopping potentially destructive cyclones in
their tracks, according to a first-of-its-kind study from The Australian
National University (ANU).

The small airborne particles have been shown to weaken cyclones
<https://phys.org/tags/cyclones/> so that they cannot fully develop.

The research is published in the *Journal of Geophysical Research:
Atmospheres*
<https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024JD041600>. A lead
author of the study, Associate Professor Roslyn Prinsley from ANU, said
with climate change <https://phys.org/tags/climate+change/> making cyclones
more dangerous, we need to come up with innovative solutions.

"Tropical cyclone Alfred ended up an ex-cyclone once it hit land. Imagine
instead the destruction if it had been a Category 5 cyclone with wind
speeds of over 250 kilometers an hour," she said.

"Others have looked at the impact of aerosols
<https://phys.org/tags/aerosols/> on a fully grown cyclone—when it might be
about to hit land. We thought it may be easier to stop them before they
start.

"We've now shown it's possible to reduce their intensity in those early
stages."

The key to weakening cyclones lies in understanding the complex physics of
how clouds form—including how tiny particles interact, how heat is
released, and how these processes affect each other.

According to Associate Professor Prinsley, past efforts to modify storms
have failed because researchers couldn't reliably predict what would
happen. Without accurate forecasting models, attempts to alter cloud
formation have "largely been guesswork."

This new understanding of how aerosols of different sizes disrupt cyclone
formation provides a foundation for future scientific trials.

"If you use different sizes of aerosols, you get a different impact on the
cyclone, but they all hold promise," Associate Professor Prinsley said.

"Our study shows, for the first time, the impacts of aerosols of varied
sizes on the formation of a tropical cyclone. We found that coarse aerosols
initially dampen vortex acceleration, while fine or ultrafine aerosols
boost it first, but later weaken it more than coarse aerosols.

"Getting these aerosols to where they're needed is another challenge we're
looking at—it would require several aircraft to disperse the aerosols over
a few hours."

At this stage, the testing is being done by simulating a cyclone on a
computer, but Associate Professor Prinsley is already considering possible
next steps.

"Obviously, before you go and test on a real cyclone, you want to make sure
your model is as accurate as possible. Also, attribution is difficult—we
need to show that the intervention itself weakened the cyclone and not
natural causes," she said.

Associate Professor Prinsley is confident that Australia could become a
global leader in this space. She said the coastline off Western Australia
could provide a good testing ground.

"Cyclones that form in that type of environment, that will never hit land,
are the best ones to test our models on," she said.

"The reality of climate change is that cyclones are going to come further
south and further inland and we will have more intense cyclones. It is
critical to do something about them before they hit."

Associate Professor Prinsley is collaborating with Aeolus, a start-up in
Silicon Valley which aims to weaken cyclones before they threaten lives and
communities.

Koki Mashita, co-founder of Aeolus said, "This is the only long-term
solution. In many parts around the world, the intensification of these
events due to climate change has already led to significant increases in
insurance premiums. As we look into the next few decades, properties will
truly become uninsurable and we will need to intervene."

*More information:* Thao Linh Tran et al, Investigation of the Sensitivity
of Tropical Cyclogenesis to Aerosol Intervention, *Journal of Geophysical
Research: Atmospheres* (2025). DOI: 10.1029/2024JD041600
<https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024JD041600>
------------------------------
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