https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdfdirect/10.1029/2025EF006522

*Authors*
C. Xing, S. Stevenson, J. Fasullo, C. Harrison, C. Chen, J. Wan, J. Coupe,
C. Pfleger

First published: *04 August 2025*

https://doi.org/10.1029/2025EF006522

*Abstract*
Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI) and marine cloud brightening (MCB)
are two proposed methods of compensating for greenhouse gas-induced warming
by reflecting incoming solar radiation. However, their effects on the El
Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), a critical mode of climate variability,
are poorly understood. Here we use ensembles of climate model simulations
to show that deploying MCB in the subtropical eastern Pacific dramatically
reduces ENSO amplitude by approximately 61%, while SAI has a negligible
impact. MCB increases cloud albedo, which cools the subtropical eastern
Pacific and triggers a loss of moist static energy. This cooling promotes
atmospheric subsidence, dries the tropical Pacific, and intensifies the
trade winds. The ultimate effect is a dramatic reduction in all air-sea
feedback processes operating during ENSO, which we demonstrate using a
mixed-layer heat budget. This contrast between the MCB and SAI impacts on
ENSO shows that the choice of climate intervention strategy used to
mitigate global warming has drastic regional implications.

*Key Points*
Marine cloud brightening in the eastern Pacific cuts El Niño-Southern
Oscillation (ENSO) amplitude through limiting key air-sea interactions

Stratospheric aerosol injection shows little effect on ENSO variability

The ENSO response to cloud brightening shows the need to assess
geoengineering's impacts on variability in addition to the mean state

*Plain Language Summary*
Global warming has significantly impacted human societies and ecosystems
over the past several decades. Solar geoengineering offers a potential way
to cool the planet by reflecting sunlight, including two popular
approaches: stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), which cools the
atmosphere by mimicking volcanic eruptions, and marine cloud brightening
(MCB), which increases the reflectivity of low ocean clouds by adding sea
salt aerosols. Because the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)—a key
climate pattern in the tropical Pacific—strongly affects global temperature
and precipitation, it is crucial to understand how these methods might
alter ENSO. Our climate model simulations show that subtropical eastern
Pacific MCB reduces ENSO variability by about 61% by cooling the
subtropical eastern Pacific, strengthening the trade winds, and suppressing
essential ocean-atmosphere interactions, while SAI has little to no effect
on ENSO variability. These findings underscore the need to thoroughly
assess the broader impacts of solar geoengineering to avoid unintended
consequences.

*Source: AGU*

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