I recently published a new preprint examining the link of Solar geoengineering and war: Sky Wars: Escalation Pathways in the Age of Solar Geoengineering by Gideon Futerman, Peter Rautenbach :: SSRN <https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5434715>. Brief summary of what we aim to do in the article: - Provides the most complete literature review of discussions of how geoengineering could cause interstate military conflict to date - Explain conflict enabling securitisation dynamics with regards to SRM - Explain an existing archetype for scenarios where SRM could cause war using this theory, hopefully strengthening our understanding of plausible conflict mechanisms - Propose a new archetype for how SRM combined with countergeoengineering could cause conflict
The abstract is as follows: As the salience of Solar Radiation Modification (SRM) - also known as Solar Geoengineering - rises, there have been increasing discussions of the possible security and conflict implications of these technologies. This piece looks at SRM through the lens of securitization and how SRM can securitize climate change and related disasters. Critically, SRM can enable climate disasters to be attributed to SRM-deploying actors. By creating a "threatening Other” on which to blame climate change, securitisation and exceptional measures, such as conflict, can be pursued in response to climatic events. Using past work, this piece builds a typology of conflict pathways and explores how the causal mechanisms illuminated by securitisation help explain conflict risk in these scenarios. Finally, with conflict-inducing-securitization in mind, we add a new, unexplored, conflict risk which outlines how conflict could occur in response to counter-geoengineering — a response to SRM which has been seen as an offramp for conflict risk. -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "geoengineering" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/geoengineering/7e160350-ba01-4560-8f51-5fa265446587n%40googlegroups.com.
