https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2025JD043786?af=R

*Authors: *Laila V. Howar, Ross J. Salawitch, David M. Wilmouth, Eric J.
Hintsa, Jennifer S. Hare, Thomas F. Hanisco, Jason M. St. Clair, Erin R.
Delaria, Elliot L. Atlas, Sue Schauffler, Kate R. Smith, Jessica B. Smith,
Bradley D. Hall, Fred L. Moore, Jasna V. Pittman, Bruce Daube, T. Paul Bui,
Yaowei Li, Frank N. Keutsch, David S. Sayres, Steven C. Wofsy, Jonathan
Dean-Day, Stephen Donnelly, Victoria A. Treadaway, James G. Anderson,
Cameron R. Homeyer, Kenneth P. Bowman

*14 October 2025*

https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JD043786

*Abstract*
Studies have suggested that ClO could be enhanced within convectively
influenced air masses in the North American Monsoon Anticyclone due to low
temperature and elevated water mixing ratio conditions that are conducive
to chlorine activation, potentially leading to significant loss of ozone in
the midlatitude lowermost stratosphere. We analyze in situ measurements of
temperature, pressure, ClO, ClONO2, H2O, NO2, aerosol surface area density
(SAD), and organic chlorine species obtained by instruments aboard the NASA
ER-2 over the continental US during the Dynamics and Chemistry of the
Summer Stratosphere (DCOTSS) campaign to show that chlorine activation
large enough to affect loss of ozone was not observed, for the summers of
2021 and 2022. During both deployments, tropopause-overshooting convection
with water vapor and temperature conditions suitable for chlorine
activation were sampled. Due to their relatively young chemical age, most
of these cold and wet air masses had abundances of inorganic chlorine (Cly)
too low to support eventual enhancements of ClO that would lead to
widespread ozone depletion. Even in the few air masses with higher levels
of Cly, the abundance of nitrogen oxides was elevated and the ratio of
ClONO2 to Cly was observed to be very low, limiting the availability of
ClONO2 to react with HCl and sustain chlorine activation. However, we show
that for the average chemical and meteorological conditions of cold, wet,
overshooting air parcels observed during DCOTSS, significant chlorine
activation could occur if stratospheric sulfate SAD were enhanced by major
volcanic eruptions or *climate intervention efforts.*

*Plain Language Summary*
Stratospheric ozone shields life on Earth from the Sun's harmful
ultraviolet rays. Mixed-phase chemical reactions, which typically occur
only at very low temperatures, produce large amounts of chlorine monoxide
(ClO), a chemical that rapidly depletes stratospheric ozone. Previous
studies have hypothesized that abundances of ClO, capable of leading to
substantial ozone depletion, could be found in the midlatitude stratosphere
when large storms inject water vapor high into the stratosphere. During the
Dynamics and Chemistry of the Summer Stratosphere (DCOTSS) NASA ER-2
aircraft field campaign, magnitudes of ClO capable of causing significant
ozone depletion were not observed within cold and wet air masses. Although
large amounts of water vapor were injected into the stratosphere by these
storms, the air masses lacked the chemical conditions necessary for
chlorine activation to cause significant ozone loss. Additionally, our
modeling analysis of data collected during DCOTSS indicates that the
stratospheric injection of sulfate, in an effort to mitigate global
warming, could increase the risk of chlorine activation in the midlatitude
lower stratosphere.

*Key Points*

Observations of ClO from the Dynamics and Chemistry of the Summer
Stratosphere mission show no evidence of heterogeneous chlorine activation

Chlorine activation was limited by the availability of inorganic chlorine
and the partitioning between the two major chlorine reservoirs

Enhancement of sulfate aerosol surface area would increase the potential
for chlorine activation in the midlatitude stratosphere

*Source: AGU*

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