https://essopenarchive.org/users/905494/articles/1337300-distinguishing-between-the-short-term-climate-responses-to-different-stratospheric-aerosol-injection-latitudes-with-explainable-artificial-intelligence

*Authors: *Cameron Dong, Elizabeth A. Barnes, Charlotte J Connolly

*06 October 2025*

*Abstract*
Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), whereby reflective particles are
released into the stratosphere to induce cooling, is one possible tool to
counteract global warming and its associated risks. However, there is much
uncertainty surrounding how SAI would be deployed, as well as the potential
of novel and unknown risks and impacts. While most previous research has
focused on characterizing the long-term climate response to SAI, we instead
analyze the short-term response to unilateral injections, within two years
of deployment, using an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI)
framework. Specifically, we train neural networks to predict the latitude
of injection in climate simulations with continuous 2-year cycles of
unilateral SAI, using seasonal or annual composites of global
2m-temperature or precipitation. The network is able to skillfully
determine the latitude of SAI, indicating that there would be
distinguishable differences in impacts depending on SAI injection latitude
within 2 years of deployment. This distinguishability is generally higher
for 2m-temperature than for precipitation, and it is also strongly
modulated by injection size and the seasonal cycle of interannual variance.
XAI methods indicate that while distinctive temperature impacts could be
identified in both the tropics and midlatitudes, distinguishable
precipitation impacts are largely restricted to the tropics.

*Source: ESS OPEN ARCHIVE *

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