https://media.rff.org/documents/Andreoni_Extended_Abstract.pdf

*Authors: *Pietro Andreoni, Leonardo Chiani, Kate Ricke, Massimo Tavoni

*Abstract*
We develop a novel framework to assess solar geoengineering outcomes under
limited international cooperation, combining a high-resolution Integrated
Assessment Model (RICE50+) with a climate emulator for stratospheric
aerosol injection (SAI). Our approach integrates deep uncertainty
quantification, global sensitivity analysis via optimal transport indices,
and gametheoretic coalition stability concepts. We systematically explore
over 1,800 representative coalition scenarios, capturing heterogeneity in
physical responses, economic preferences, and deployment rules. This
methodological innovation enables joint analysis of climatic and
institutional dimensions of SAI, revealing key trade-offs between
effectiveness and stability. Our results inform the design of viable,
equitable geoengineering governance in an uncertain world.

*Source: Media.rff*

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