https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2025GL117821

*Authors*: Maya V. Chung, Wenchang Yang, Gabriel A. Vecchi

First published: *03 October 2025*

https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL117821

*Abstract*
The climate system can respond asymmetrically to warming and cooling, yet
this asymmetry remains underexplored. This study uses multi-century
experiments with two coupled global climate models under idealized abrupt
solar forcing changes of
±1%, 2%, 4%, and 6%. In both models, cooling has a larger impact on surface
temperature than warming, driven by the ice-albedo feedback. However, under
strong cooling (−4%, −6% Solar), the models diverge significantly. One
model undergoes runaway ice growth, while the other has slower ice
expansion and even transient sea ice retreat in the north Pacific. The
latter is linked to the development of a strong Pacific meridional
overturning circulation, which transports heat northward and slows ice
growth. The model with less ice growth also exhibits greater “cold uptake
into” (or heat release from) the deep ocean. These findings motivate
further investigation of inter-model differences in ocean-ice-atmosphere
interactions and their impacts on climate feedbacks.

*Plain Language Summary*
Understanding both warming and cooling of the climate system is crucial for
studying past climates, predicting climate changes under different
greenhouse gas emission scenarios, and connecting past climates to future
changes. This study compares how two climate models respond to sudden
increases and decreases in incoming sunlight. While both models show
similar warming and moderate cooling responses, they behave differently
under strong cooling. In one model, sea ice rapidly expands and reaches the
tropics within a few centuries, whereas in the other, ice growth never
reaches that point even after running the simulations for nearly twice as
long. We find that in the second model, an ocean overturning circulation
develops in the Pacific that transports heat from the Equator northward.
This process prevents sea ice from advancing by melting it from below.
These findings emphasize the need to examine the ocean's role in climate
change, run models for multiple centuries, and conduct more simple
perturbation experiments including cooling scenarios to better understand
discrepancies between climate models.

*Key Points*

Two climate models have different responses to extreme solar reductions
driven by ice-albedo feedback

Ice cover and surface temperature differences are influenced by ocean heat
uptake and one model's transient Pacific overturning

Pacific overturning formation associated with lower salinity stratification
in the north Pacific

*Source: AGU*

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