https://essopenarchive.org/doi/full/10.22541/essoar.176401886.60047293/v1

*Authors*: Kelsey E Roberts, Tyler Rohr, Morgan R Raven, Michael S
Diamond,, Daniele Visioni, Ben Kravitz, Ryan Heneghan, Colleen M Petrik,
Daniele Bianchi, Kelly Ortega- Cisneros, Monica A Morrison, Vanessa Van
Heerden, Nicola A Wiseman, Anil Gouri, Zachary J Cannizzo, Marta Coll,
Joshua Coupe, Ryan Freedman, Kristen Krumhardt, Lester Kwiatkowski, Nicole
S Lovenduski, Jessica Y Luo, Holly C Olivarez, Alan Robock, Jeroen
Steenbeek, Cheryl S Harrison

*24 November 2025*

*Abstract*
Rising global temperatures pose significant risks to marine ecosystems,
biodiversity and fisheries. Recent comprehensive assessments suggest that
large-scale mitigation efforts to limit warming are falling short, and all
feasible future climate projections, including those that represent
optimistic emissions reductions, exceed the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C or 2º
warming targets during this century. While avoiding further CO2 emissions
remains the most effective way to prevent environmental destabilization,
interest is growing in climate interventions deliberate, large-scale
manipulations of the environment aimed at reducing global warming. These
include carbon dioxide removal (CDR) to reduce atmospheric CO2
concentrations over time, and solar radiation modification (SRM), which
reflects sunlight to lower surface temperatures but does not address root
CO2 causes. The effects of these interventions on marine ecosystems, both
direct and in combination with ongoing climate change, remain highly
uncertain. Given the ocean’s central role in regulating Earth’s climate and
supporting global food security, understanding these potential effects is
crucial. This review provides an overview of proposed intervention
methodologies for marine CDR and SRM and outlines the potential trade-offs
and knowledge gaps associated with their impacts on marine ecosystems.
Climate interventions have the potential to reduce warming-driven impacts,
but could also alter marine food systems, biodiversity and ecosystem
function. Effects will vary by pathway, scale, and regional context.
Pathway-specific impact assessments are thus crucial to quantify trade-offs
between plausible intervention scenarios as well as to identify their
expected impacts on marine ecosystems in order to prioritize scaling
efforts for low-risk pathways and avoid high-risk scenarios.

*Source: ESS Open Archive *

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