https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/2752-5295/ae3a09

*Authors*: Mauricio Uriona Maldonado, Caroline Rodrigues Vaz, Sara
Grobbelaar and Rhythm Singh

*19 January 2026*

*Abstract*
The escalating climate crisis has intensified the focus on Solar Radiation
Modification (SRM) owing to insufficient global mitigation efforts. While
the Global South is disproportionately vulnerable to climate impacts, its
perspective remains underrepresented in the complex governance debate. This
study proposes a System Dynamics (SD) conceptual framework to map and
analyze the intricate structure of SRM perceptions in the Global South,
distinct from linear polling methods. Drawing on the literature and expert
stakeholder engagement in Brazil, we constructed a Causal Loop Diagram
(CLD) to explicate the feedback mechanisms driving support for or
opposition to SRM. The resulting framework reveals critical dynamic
structures, specifically the ”mitigation deterrence” reinforcing loop and
the tension between ”rapid cooling benefits” and ”equity concerns.” This
study demonstrates that SD is a vital ”sense-making” tool for bridging the
gap between scientific discourse and public understanding, offering a
pathway for more informed and equitable global governance.

*Source: IOP Science*

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