Hi everyone,


As it turns out, I am writing a textbook on sustainability and I am to the part 
where I talk about LTG.  I am curious how this audience sees the LTG "facts" - 
that is, is there anything that is conclusively disproven from the LTG work?  
For my part, I find Graham Turner's 2008 piece in Global Env. Change, "A 
comparison of The Limits to Growth with 30 years of reality" of particular 
interest.



While I had previously been quite doubtful of the accuracy/importance of LTG, I 
admittedly had not actually read the whole thing, including all the updated 
editions; and, it seems that many of the perceived shortcomings of LTG come 
from either incorrect readings of the models or from those who have not 
actually thoroughly read it.  For example, there is the common accusation that 
they don't take technology or markets seriously, but in fact, this constitutes 
chapter 6 in the 30 year update and is included specifically in their models in 
that chapter.



That said, I would be interested in any specific (important) claims that we 
might think are demonstrably incorrect as I consider this work for the 
textbook. Certainly we could criticize it for the way it aggregates all 
dynamics into a global monolithic model, and the nature of politics are 
obscured terribly, but really I am concerned more about demonstrable "errors".



Thanks in advance!



Peter





Peter J. Jacques, Ph.D.

Associate Professor

Department of Political Science

University of Central Florida

P.O. Box 161356

4000 Central Florida Blvd.

Orlando, FL 32816-1356



Phone: (407) 823-2608<tel:%28407%29%20823-2608>

Fax: (407) 823-0051<tel:%28407%29%20823-0051>

Peter J. Jacques, Ph.D.



View my CV, articles, teaching documents, etc... here:

http://ucf.academia.edu/PeterJacques





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