Dear colleagues,

In the run-up to the UNFCCC COP-21 at Paris, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and myself have undertaken a series of policy predictions with the Predictioneer’s Game on 10+ policy issues presently under negotiations.These issues include the principles for effort-sharing, the legal framework for adaptation, the amount of climate finance, and inclusion of loss & damage.

The summary report can be found at:

http://www.uni-potsdam.de/u/sprinz/doc/Sprinz_BuenodeMesquita.2015.PredictingParis.Summary.ResearchGate.pdf

as well as

http://www.researchgate.net/publication/283708027_Predicting_Paris_Forecasting_the_Outcomes_of_UNFCCC_COP-21_With_the_Predictioneers_Game

The study as well as related research results by colleagues at CICERO - Center for International Climate and Environmental Research Oslo (expert survey of negotiations outcomes), and the University of Groningen with the University of Strathclyde (forecasting results based on the DECIDE model) will be presented at the

Research Colloquium of the Faculty of Economics and Social Sciences and the WIPCAD Doctoral Program at the University of Potsdam, Germany <http://www.uni-potsdam.de/wipcad/news-events/headlines-and-featured-stories/detail-latest/article/2015-11-09-18-nov-2015-predicting-paris-forecasting-the-outcomes-of-the-un-climate-negotiations.html>, jointly hosted with PIK-Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research on

Date: 18 November 2015

Time: 16:30-18:00 h

Venue: University of Potsdam, Campus Griebnitzsee, House 6, H05 (Site map <http://www.uni-potsdam.de/db/zeik-portal/gm/lageplan-up.php?komplex=3>), S: Griebnitzseee

RSVP: http://www.uni-potsdam.de/wipcad/research/registration/

Contact (logistics): WIPCAD Coordination Office, University of Potsdam([email protected])

Best wishes,

Detlef Sprinz


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DSP.Professional Signature
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Detlef F. Sprinz, Ph.D.
Professor— Potsdam Institute (PIK) & University of Potsdam

PIK - Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Voice:  +49 (331) 288-2555
[email protected]
www.sprinz.org

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