Good morning or afternoon GEP-Ed folks,

I consider this an extremely important perspective and important piece of
research. The engaged method of including civil society organizations from
around the world in determining an "equity band" is itself worth attention.
And as we argued in the Klinsky et al. 2016 GEC piece, including
substantive and procedural equity in climate solutions is more likely to
inspire ambitious and enduring effort.

Best to all,
Timmons

---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Christian Holz <[email protected]>
Date: Sun, Aug 20, 2017 at 10:47 AM
Subject: [Article] "Fairly sharing 1.5: national fair shares of a
1.5 °C-compliant global mitigation effort"
To: [email protected]


Hi all,

This is to announce a new article from the Climate Equity Reference Project:

Holz, Christian, Kartha, Sivan & Athanasiou, Tom. "Fairly sharing 1.5:
national fair shares of a 1.5 °C-compliant global mitigation effort" Int
Environ Agreements (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10784-017-9371-z

*Abstract:*
The problem of fairly distributing the global mitigation effort is
particularly important for the 1.5 °C temperature limitation objective, due
to its rapidly depleting global carbon budget. Here, we present methodology
and results of the first study examining national mitigation pledges
presented at the 2015 Paris climate summit, relative to equity benchmarks
and 1.5 °C-compliant global mitigation. Uniquely, pertinent ethical choices
were made via deliberative processes of civil society organizations,
resulting in an agreed range of effort-sharing parameters. Based on this,
we quantified each country’s range of fair shares of 1.5 °C-compliant
mitigation, using the Climate Equity Reference Project’s allocation
framework. Contrasting this with national 2025/2030 mitigation pledges
reveals a large global mitigation gap, within which wealthier countries’
mitigation pledges fall far short, while poorer countries’ pledges,
collectively, meet their fair share. We also present results for individual
countries (e.g. China exceeding; India meeting; EU, USA, Japan, and Brazil
falling short). We outline ethical considerations and choices arising when
deliberating fair effort sharing and discuss the importance of separating
this choice making from the scholarly work of quantitative “equity
modelling” itself. Second, we elaborate our approach for quantifying
countries’ fair shares of a global mitigation effort, the Climate Equity
Reference Framework. Third, we present and discuss the results of this
analysis with emphasis on the role of mitigation support. In concluding, we
identify twofold obligations for all countries in a justice-centred
implementation of 1.5 °C-compliant mitigation: (1) unsupported domestic
reductions and (2) engagement in deep international mitigation cooperation,
through provision of international financial and other support, or through
undertaking additional supported mitigation activities. Consequently, an
equitable pathway to 1.5 °C can only be imagined with such large-scale
international cooperation and support; otherwise, 1.5 °C-compliant
mitigation will remain out of reach, impose undue suffering on the world’s
poorest, or both.

If you don't have access to the article through your institution, you can
access it through Springer ShareIt, but access via the doi is preferred if
you can: http://rdcu.be/u8C3
<http://em.rdcu.be/wf/click?upn=KP7O1RED-2BlD0F9LDqGVeSBc6ej5wTtApanCxfNgo74U-3D_v0LOk0miJkebAhqdZKx8RRHrS3Lyg42b2T-2FK6S2thgdbAiB-2B52ok7uZU23afMYNalob8T4EsYacBOyx2flnzNjKP5x7qCeO2X4qNKPW7OHup7ZsgXmsSvBThnyDwckjtu1LIDLaod33B5c8QN4Iv-2FKmT5NcMVsHUHMJchoAFuSPywwFavm7IDuElIqPTaFZBafTnOta37Ms90wN1S5MOOagoae3Uh6HDa47pBUqCr7-2Br24mhNgaF2y6pNKcs-2FRjvTXlUH5DZfNDlMr89T11JUy6R97wSIaoEmglknNMXjVo-3D>




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-- 
Timmons Roberts @timmonsroberts
Ittleson Professor of Environmental Studies and Sociology
Director, the Climate and Development Lab www.climatedevlab.brown.edu
Brown University https://vivo.brown.edu/display/jr17
Non-Resident Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution
http://www.brookings.edu/experts/robertst

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