Dear colleagues,
Some of you may be interested in a study we just put out tracking the
spread over time of national climate legislation, strategy and targets
across 194 countries. The good news is substantially enhanced coverage -
89% of global emissions -- and also indicative evidence that international
processes are strongly associated with up-ticks in these metrics.
 The paper can be downloaded here.
<https://cprindia.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=53d134a97bfdf28d60c85e3cb&id=a8b12a7a27&e=a2e349ae0c>


We also have a bunch of other papers on India's likely emission future,
climate equity (the politics of benchmarking NDCs against equity, and
assessing climate equity from the supply side - who gets to burn the
limited carbon). Hope you find some of it useful.

Best,
Navroz Dubash

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Dear Colleagues,

*With apologies for repeated posting, this is an updated version of our
publications email with corrected and updated links to the journal
articles. *

We are pleased to share new publications from the Centre for Policy
Research covering India’s emissions future, the spread of national climate
legislation and strategies, climate equity, and the evolution of the
international climate regime.

*Journal Articles*



*India’s energy and emissions future: an interpretive analysis of model
scenarios Navroz K. Dubash, Radhika Khosla, Narasimha D. Rao, and Ankit
Bhardwaj Environmental Research Letters (2018)*
Over the last few years, India has variously been presented in the global
climate debate as an energy-hungry climate deal-breaker, and a forerunner
of a low carbon future. Developing clarity on India’s energy and emissions
future, however, is challenged by the uncertainties of India’s development
transitions. Based on an interpretive analysis of 7 leading studies on CO2
emissions from energy, this paper concludes that given current policies, a
doubling of India’s emissions from 2012 levels is a likely upper bound for
emissions in 2030, and that this level is consistent with India’s NDC, *as
the graphic below suggests*. The complete paper can be downloaded here.
<https://cprindia.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=53d134a97bfdf28d60c85e3cb&id=81f7f6773b&e=a2e349ae0c>

Figure from Dubash et al., 2018
<https://cprindia.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=53d134a97bfdf28d60c85e3cb&id=512d696501&e=a2e349ae0c>


*National climate change mitigation legislation, strategy and targets: a
global update Gabriela Iacobuta, Navroz K. Dubash, Prabhat Upadhyaya,
Mekdelawit Deribe, and Niklas Höhne Climate Policy (2018)*
What is the current status of national climate governance, and how
widespread is it? In an update of a 2012 analysis, this paper presents the
most comprehensive review available of national policies across 194
countries. It finds that that 89% of global GHG emissions, 90% of the
global population, and 76% of countries are currently covered by national
emissions targets. Moreover, *as the image below suggests*, key shifts in
national climate mitigation actions often occur in the lead up to landmark
international negotiations, signaling an important role of international
climate negotiations.
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*Cascading biases against poorer countries Sivan Kartha, Tom Athanasiou,
Simon Caney, Elizabeth Cripps, Kate Dooley, Navroz K. Dubash, Teng Fei et
al. Nature Climate Change (2018)*
A growing literature seeks to address the NDCs on the basis of fairness and
equity. This comment in Nature Climate Change critiques the basis on which
one widely cited paper undertakes this analytical task. The authors suggest
that unjustified and implicitly normative methodological choices can
privilege a ‘grandfathering’ approach that favours wealthier and
higher-emitting countries and lead to a bias against developing countries.
Instead, scholars measuring equity need to clarify the ethical assumptions
and consequences of various methods. This discussion is important for
future NDC updates as well as for future efforts at a global stocktake. The
paper can be accessed here.
<https://cprindia.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=53d134a97bfdf28d60c85e3cb&id=d1a73d7f91&e=a2e349ae0c>

*Whose carbon is burnable? Equity considerations in the allocation of a
'right to extract.'*

*Sivan Kartha, Simon Caney, Navroz K. Dubash, and Greg Muttitt Climatic
Change (2018)*
In order to keep warming below 1.5 - 2 degrees Celsius, the global
combustion of fossil fuels must decline rapidly. But who should get to burn
the limited amount of carbon, and how should this be decided? This paper
explores this question and presents principles to equitably and gradually
manage the transition. The paper can be accessed here.
<https://cprindia.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=53d134a97bfdf28d60c85e3cb&id=7a958cd974&e=a2e349ae0c>
*Policy Briefs*



*General issues in elaborating the Paris rulebook Daniel Bodansky and
Lavanya Rajamani Center for Climate and Energy Solutions (2018)*
The Paris Agreement establishes a new multilateral architecture guiding
countries’ climate change efforts under the UNFCCC. Parties are currently
negotiating the detailed rules and procedures (the ‘Paris rulebook’) to
implement the agreement. This brief identifies and discusses a set of
crosscutting issues that apply across the full range of decisions to be
adopted. The brief can be downloaded here.
<https://cprindia.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=53d134a97bfdf28d60c85e3cb&id=c0c5fa6283&e=a2e349ae0c>

*Integrating Urban Development and Climate Objectives: Insights from
Coimbatore*
*Ankit Bhardwaj and Radhika Khosla*
Indian cities routinely make decisions on land use, housing, water,
transport, economic growth, and waste management that have implications for
climate change mitigation and adaptation. This paper shows how cities can
use a ‘multiple objective’ approach to systematically examine, and make
explicit, the linkages between local objectives, climate change mitigation
and adaptation across their planning portfolio. The brief can be downloaded
here.
<https://cprindia.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=53d134a97bfdf28d60c85e3cb&id=03ce36f350&e=a2e349ae0c>

*Book Chapters*

Chapter 13: Human Rights in the Climate Change Regime
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*Lavanya Rajamani*
In *The Human Right to a Healthy Environment* edited by John H. Knox and
Ramin Pejan (Cambridge University Press, 2018).
This chapter explores the human rights implications of various provisions
in the international climate change regime. In particular, it examines, in
forensic detail, the human rights recital in the preamble of the Paris
Agreement, the first explicit reference to human rights in the climate
change regime.

*Chapter 2: The principle of common but differentiated responsibilities and
respective capabilities in the international climate change regime*
<https://cprindia.us9.list-manage.com/track/click?u=53d134a97bfdf28d60c85e3cb&id=81d26543f8&e=a2e349ae0c>
*Lavanya Rajamani*
In *Research Handbook on Climate Disaster Law *edited by Rosemary Lyster
and Robert R.M Verchick (Edward Elgar Publishing, 2018).
The chapter outlines the principle of common but differentiated
responsibilities, including its core content, its legal status, and its
operationalization in the Paris Agreement, with particular attention to
climate change mitigation and adaptation.

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The *Initiative on Climate, **Energy** and Environment *at the Centre for
Policy Research produces research, informs public opinion and generates
debate on climate, energy and environment policy at international, national
and sub-national levels. Our goal is to enhance policy outcomes through
informed research and policy dialogue within India and internationally.

For further details on our work visit www.cprindia.org
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Climate Initiative, Centre for Policy Research · Dharma Marg, Chanakyapuri
· New Delhi 110021 · India




-- 

*Recent Publications (all downloadable below):*
*1. *National Climate Change Mitigation Legislation, Strategy and Targets:
A Global Update
<https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14693062.2018.1489772>. *Climate
Policy*
*2. *India's Energy and Emissions Future: An Interpretive Analysis.
<http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/aacc74>* Environmental
Research Letters*
*3. *Cascading Biases against Poorer Countries.
<http://www.cprindia.org/articles/cascading-biases-against-poorer-countries>
*Nature
Climate Change.*
4. Whose Carbon is Burnable? Equity Considerations in the Allocation of a
"Right to Extract?"
<http://www.cprindia.org/articles/whose-carbon-burnable-equity-considerations-allocation-%E2%80%9Cright-extract%E2%80%9D>
 *Climatic Change.*



Dr. Navroz K. Dubash
Senior Fellow, Centre for Policy Research
Dharma Marg, Chanakyapuri
New Delhi 110 021, India
Tel: +91-11-2611-5273/74/75/76
Email: ndubash@gmail <[email protected]>.com
Web page: http://cprindia.org/people/navroz-k-dubash
<http://www.cprindia.org/users/navroz-k-dubash>

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