http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-11069616

 24 August 2010 Last updated at 15:28 GMT
 Ten things the Philippines bus siege police got wrong
[image: Crouching police]

A security analyst who has worked in counter-terrorism with the British Army
and Scotland Yard, Charles Shoebridge, says the officers involved in
Manila's bus siege showed great courage - but they were not properly trained
or equipped for the task.

Here are 10 areas where, in his view, they could have done better.
*1. Determination*

**<http://www.adobe.com/shockwave/download/download.cgi?P1_Prod_Version=ShockwaveFlash>

Philippine police end Manila bus hijack

The first officers who tried to storm the bus were driven out by gunshots
from the hostage taker, former policeman Rolando Mendoza. "They showed great
courage to go on board. It's very crowded, just one aisle down the middle of
the bus. But once you get on board it's not unexpected you are going to be
fired at. Squads like this have to be made up of very special people,
specially trained and selected for their characteristics of courage,
determination and aggression. In this case they acted as 99% of the
population would have, which was to turn round and get out. They didn't seem
to have the necessary determination and aggression to follow the attack
through."
*2. Lack of equipment*

The police spent a long time smashing the windows of the bus, whereas
explosive charges (known as frame charges) would have knocked in windows and
doors instantly. "They had no ladders to get through the windows. They
smashed the windows but didn't know what to do next," Mr Shoebridge says.
"They almost looked like a group of vandals." Their firearms were also
inappropriate - some had pistols, some had assault rifles. Ideally they
would have carried a short submachine gun, suitable for use in confined
spaces.
*3. Lost opportunity to disarm the gunman*
[image: Negotiators] Mendoza's gun was not always raised

There were numerous opportunities to restrain the gunman, Mr Shoebridge
believes. "The negotiators were so close to him, and he had his weapon
hanging down by his side. He could have been disabled without having to kill
him."
*4. Lost opportunity to shoot the gunman*

The video of the drama also shows there were occasions when the gunman was
standing alone, during the course of the day, and could have been shot by a
sharpshooter. "You are dealing with an unpredictable and irrational
individual. The rule should be that if in the course of negotiations an
opportunity arises to end the situation decisively, it should be taken," Mr
Shoebridge says. Either this possibility did not occur to the officers in
charge, he adds, or they considered it and decided to carry on talking.
*5. Satisfying the gunman's demands*

"I wondered why the authorities just didn't give in to all of his demands,"
says Charles Shoebridge. "A promise extracted under force is not a promise
that you are required to honour. Nobody wants to give in to the demands of
terrorists, but in a situation like this, which did not involve a terrorist
group, or release of prisoners, they could have just accepted his demands.
He could be reinstated in the police - and then be immediately put in prison
for life for hostage taking." The Philippines authorities did in fact give
in to the gunman's demands, but too little, too late. One message promised
to review his case, while he wanted it formally dismissed. A second message
reinstating him as a police offer only arrived after the shooting had
started.
*6. Televised proceedings*

The gunman was able to follow events on television, revealing to him
everything that was going on around him. This was a "crucial defect in the
police handling", Mr Shoebridge says. He adds that police should always
consider putting a barrier or screen around the area, to shield the scene
from the cameras and keep the hostage taker in the dark.
*7. No element of surprise*

It was clear to the gunman what the police were doing at all times, not only
because the whole incident was televised, but also because they moved
"laboriously slowly", Mr Shoebridge says. The police did not distract him,
so were unable to exploit the "crucial element of surprise".
*8. Safeguarding the public*
[image: Injured bystander] This boy, a bystander, was hit by a stray bullet

At least one bystander was shot, possibly because the public was allowed too
close. The bullet from an M16 rifle, as carried by the gunman, can travel
for about a mile, so preventing any risk of injury would have been
difficult, Mr Shoebridge says, but a lot more could have been done. "When
you saw the camera view from above, it was clear there was little command
and control of the public on the ground," he says.
*9. Using the gunman's brother to negotiate*

Relatives and close friends can be a double-edged sword, Mr Shoebridge says.
While they may have leverage over the hostage taker, what they are saying
cannot be easily controlled. In this case, the gunman's brother was included
in the negotiations - however, at a certain stage he became agitated and
police started to remove him from the scene. The gunman saw this on
television, and became agitated himself. According to one report he fired a
warning shot.
*10. Insufficient training*

In some parts of the Philippines, such as Mindanao, hostage taking is not an
uncommon occurrence, so the country has some forces that are well trained in
the necessary tactics. The detachment involved in Monday's incident clearly
was not, says Mr Shoebridge. After smashing the windows, one of the officers
eventually put some CS gas inside, though "to what effect was not clear" he
says. A unit involved in this work, needs to be "trained again and again,
repeatedly practising precisely this kind of scenario," he says.

-- 
PJ C. Reyes

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