---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Typhoon2000.ph (Michael V. Padua) <[email protected]>
Date: Sun, Oct 17, 2010 at 3:32 PM
Subject: MEGI [JUAN] now an extremely catastrophic Super Typhoon...[Update
#013A]
To: [email protected],
[email protected]





*for Saturday, 16 October 2010 [3:15 PM PhT]*

[image: click to get RSS data] <http://www.maybagyo.com/update_rss.php>
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*Typhoon2000 (T2K) NEWS (Sunday Oct 16 2010):

Now issuing 3-hrly web, SMS & email advisories on MEGI (JUAN). The HOURLY
POSITION ESTIMATE will start once the system is less than 200 km away from
land. *
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*MEGI (JUAN) MAX WIND SPEED PER AGENCY:

+ USA (JTWC/1-min avg): 270 km/hr
+ Japan (JMA/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Philippines (PAGASA/10-min avg): 195 km/hr
+ Korea (KMA/10-min avg): 205 km/hr
+ Taiwan (CWB/10-min avg): 215 km/hr
+ Beijing (NMC/2-min avg): 230 km/hr
+ Hong Kong (HKO/10-min avg): 200 km/hr*
------------------------------
*SUPER TYPHOON MEGI [JUAN/15W/1013]
T2K INTERMEDIATE E-MAIL ADVISORY NUMBER 013A *
*3:00 PM PhT (07:00 GMT) Sun 17 October 2010*
*Sources: T2K Extrap Analysis/JTWC Wrng #017/SatFix/Recon *
*View: Advisory Archives
(2004-2010)<http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/typhoon2000asiapac_stormlist/>
*
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MEGI (JUAN) is now an extremely catastrophic Super Typhoon as its wind speed
increases to 270 km/hr...Northern Luzon in full danger as the howler
continues tracking westward.

Residents and visitors along Northern and Central Luzon particularly Cagayan
and Isabela should closely monitor the progress of MEGI (JUAN).

Do not use this for life or death decision. This advisory is intended for
additional information purposes only. Kindly refer to your country's
official weather agency for local warnings, advisories & bulletins.

*CURRENT STORM INFORMATION*

*Time/Date: 3:00 PM PhT Sun Oct 17 2010
Location of Eye: 18.5º N Lat 125.9º E Lon
Distance 1: 445 km (240 nm) East of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 2: 475 km (257 nm) SE of Basco, Batanes
Distance 3: 455 km (245 nm) ENE of Tuguegarao City
Distance 4: 455 km (245 nm) ENE of Ilagan, Isabela
Distance 5: 475 km (257 nm) NE of Casiguran, Aurora
Distance 6: 560 km (303 nm) ENE of Laoag City
Distance 7: 670 km (362 nm) NE of Metro Manila
MaxWinds (1-min avg): 270 kph (145 kts) near the center
Peak Wind Gusts: 325 kph (175 kts)
Present Movement: West @ 22 kph (12 kts)
Towards: Cagayan-Isabela Area
24-hr Rain Amounts (near center): 350 mm (Heavy)
Minimum Central Pressure: 908 millibars (hPa)
Saffir-Simpson Typhoon Scale: Category
5<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saffir-Simpson_Scale>
Size (in Diameter): 740 km (400 nm) /
Large<http://www.typhoon2000.ph/tcsizes.htm>
Max Sea Wave Height (near center): 32 ft (9.7 m)
Possible Storm Surge Height: >18 ft [>5.5
m]<http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saffir-Simpson_Scale>
T2K TrackMap #005 (for Public): 12 PM PhT Sun Oct
17<http://www.typhoon2000.ph/activetrack.gif>
**
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**
RECENT TYPHOON2000 TRACKING CHART**:
*
                       **
**
**
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  *
RECENT MULTI-AGENCY TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TRACKING CHART:


*____________
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  *

RECENT MTSAT-1R "DAY & NIGHT VISION" SATELLITE IMAGE**:
*

> Image source:  NOAA SATELLITE CENTER

____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
*

*
*
RECENT WUNDERGROUND SATELLITE ANIMATION:  **Note: Satellite loop finally
aligned!


> Image source:  Wunderground.com (http://www.wunderground.com/)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

LATEST 24 HR. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS / ENSEMBLE TROPICAL RAINFALL POTENTIAL
(eTRaP):


> Image source:  NOAA Satellite & Information Service (
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/etrap.html)
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
*
*
*
*NOTE:*

  * - JTWC commentary remarks (for Meteorologists) from their latest
warning.
*
__________________________________________________________________________________________
*
>> To know the meteorological terminologies and acronyms used on this
update visit the ff:

    http://typhoon2000.ph/tcterm.htm
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml
    
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php<http://www.srh..noaa.gov/oun/severewx/glossary.php>
    http://www.srh.weather.gov/fwd/glossarynation.html
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/acronyms.shtml
*
__________________________________________________________________________________________

*For the complete details on STY MEGI (JUAN)...go visit our website @:

> <http://www.typhoon2000.com/>http://www.typhoon2000.com
> http://www.maybagyo.com
> <http://www.typhoon2000.ph/>http://www.typhoon2000.ph

:: Kindly view our site's disclaimer at:
   http://www.typhoon2000.ph/disclaimer.htm

------------------------------
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-- 
PJ C. Reyes

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