"Wouter" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote in message
news:<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>...
>the new ENSO forecast of the NCEP came out:
>
>http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ind
ex.html
>
>and it's showing the begin of an El NiƱo and forecast it to continue.
>As ENSO is important for surface temperature, what do you think?  2007
>the warmest year since the beginning of measurements?

I would expect the next large El Nino to set the next record.  James Hansen
had an aborted prediction of a "super" El Nino to start this year a few
months ago.  He must have felt it was going too much out on a limb, perhaps
he will wish he had stuck to it!
http://sciencepolicy.colorado.edu/prometheus/archives/climate_change/000771o
ut_on_a_limb_with_a.html

Coby


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