> I must admit that I do not find that explanation convincing,
> particularly the bit about water vapour from melting ice. But you may
> have phrased things poorly. Could you give a link to a more detailed
> explanation of what you are trying to say?

Here's a link that explains the runaway effect of water vapour
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Study/WaterVapor/
It is also a copy here, which may be easier to print or read:
http://www.intute.ac.uk/sciences/worldguide/html/883_articles.html

It concludes with one of my mantras - "There is a certain sense of 
complacency that water vapor feedback is understood. And that comes from the 
fact that a lot of these global climate models agree with each other," 
Folkins observes. "But just because they agree, doesn't mean they are all 
right."

But don't confuse a runaway greenhouse with what is happening on Venus. 
When water vapour runs away it generates cloud which prevents the Earth 
reaching > 400C :-)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greenhouse_effect#Runaway_greenhouse
The above concludes   "the Earth is far from this runaway condition, as is 
also self-evident from the stability of the climate through geological 
time." That statement is false because there was a violent change in climate 
at the end of the Younger Dryas only 10,000 years ago, and many more before 
that.

For the effects of melting ice especially the Greenland ice sheet see:
Sea Level, Ice, and Greenhouses -- FAQ by Bob Grumbime of NOAA
http://www.radix.net/~bobg/faqs/sea.level.faq.html

Then put 2 and 2 together and get the 4 which I summarised.

Cheers, Alastair.




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