----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Michael Tobis" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

> I need to sign of this discussion for a week or two; too much going
> on. Perhaps someone else will take it up.

I would like to but I am busy too.

>> Do you have any evidence that the temperature on the Venus surface
>> would be lower if it were 5% co2 instead of 95%?
>
> Obviously, not observational. But the science is much more advanced
> than you give it credit for. The greenhouse effect is understood.

Not on Venus it is not! For instance se:

"These motivate us to carry out missions like Venus Express, which, if they
are to be most effective, focus on the major unknowns and on the observed
properties of Venus that are known but difficult to explain, like the high
surface temperature."

Taken from Fredric W. Taylor (2006) "Venus before Venus Express"   2006
Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.pss.2006.04.031

>
> A quick googling turns up this:
>
> http://irina.eas.gatech.edu/ATOC5560_2002/Lec26.pdf
>
> You may wish to work through it, and play with the parameters to see
> if you can get it to saturate.

He won't get it to saturate because it uses a grey atmosphere with bands
which do not saturate.  The correct model is not grey but striped, with
lines that saturate and gaps between them with no absorption. You
can't average between infinity and zero, but that's what the current models 
do.

> As for basing your entire conclusion about the future governance of
> the planet's atmosphere on a crude hand-drawn non-reviewed graph of
> paleotemperature on the 500 Ma time scale, all the while ignoring
> IPCC, perhaps it might be worth reconsidering what you take seriously
> and what you dismiss.

At least one of the two graphs which make up the diagram to which you refer
were peer reviewed. The other comes from a respected scientist - Scocese.
BTW have your lecture notes been peer reviewed?

The simple answer is that global temperature is limited to about 22 C by the
formation of clouds.  But that is the global temperature and when it reaches
a maximum it is global. In other words the polar temperatures rise to that
level too, and all latitudes from there to the equator. Not nice and only
suitable for cold blooded reptiles such as dinosaurs.  True the planet will
not turn into another raging Venus, but it could get hot enough for mammals
to drown in the dew forming in their lungs as they try to cool the air below
their blood temperature. It only has to happen on one day and all mammals
are extinct.  Of course those with air conditioning will survive, but where
will they get their meat to eat?

"Waur doomed:-)"

Cheers, Alastair.




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