It reminds me a little of The Limits to Growth modelling exercise.

What struck me after reviewing that particular modelling exercise was
that the complex computer model wasn't really necessary at all to come
to the main predictions, a few key assumptions that got put into the
model basically dictated the outputs.

http://heikoheiko.blogspot.com/2007/04/review-of-limits-to-growth.html

Still, the DOE execise sounds interesting. Presumably, they'll work
together with the scenario development team of the IPCC, who
incidentally have done great work.


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