How about more than 0.5C then? I'm not sure that sea level is a big enough impact to matter on this timescale, (collapses excluded), so what other numbers can we come up with that matter?
On 23 May, 17:51, William M Connolley <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > On Wed, 23 May 2007, Fergus wrote: > > What I want to ask is, what should/could we realistically posit as the > > likely numbers for the various CC metrics? If you want to consider the > > ones on Open Mind, or 'in the cave', there's a starting point. here > > are a couple of suggestions: > > > * more than 0.3C warmer than now; > > * 10% loss of sea ice; > > * 10% increase in drought-effected land (by the PDSI measure); > > > Are these realistic numbers? What about the other metrics? > > Less that 0.15 oC/decade is very unlikely. So your first metric is not much > use. > Sea ice is all very well but why measure it? Drought-affected is at least an > impact. > > -W. > > William M Connolley | [EMAIL PROTECTED] |http://www.antarctica.ac.uk/met/wmc/ > Climate Modeller, British Antarctic Survey |07985 935400 > > -- > This message (and any attachments) is for the recipient only. NERC is subject > to the Freedom of Information Act 2000 and the contents of this email and any > reply you make may be disclosed by NERC unless it is exempt from release under > the Act. Any material supplied to NERC may be stored in an electronic > records management system. --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of global environmental change. Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not gratuitously rude. To post to this group, send email to [email protected] To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
