With reference to this old thread, I just came across the following 
paper, which seems relevant:

http://www.agu.org/pubs/crossref/2005/2005GL023902.shtml

they tried 2 experiments: a "commitment run", ie running on a 
continuation of a 20th century simulation, with atmospheric constituents 
held fixed at current (2000) levels, and a similar run in which all the 
sulphates were removed (but everthing else the same).

"Calculations performed with the Hamburg Climate Model suggest that 
climate change resulting from increasing greenhouse gas emissions would 
become considerably more pronounced if air quality were dramatically 
improved in the future. Specifically, the globally averaged surface air 
temperature and amount of precipitation could increase in less than a 
decade by 0.8 K and 3%, respectively, if the entire amount of 
anthropogenic sulfate aerosols were removed from the atmosphere."

I think the temperature value is about where we ended up in our discussions.

James

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