Could developed countries adopt a zero CO2-emission energy supply by 2050 
without nuclear power, while maintaining or increasing living standards? 
Well, maybe so, according to:

 http://www.ieer.org/carbonfree/CarbonFreeNuclearFree.pdf

This scheme relies largely on unproven non-commercial technology, so cost 
estimates are dubious (for example lithium-ion battery costs must fall by 
80%), but it is an interesting thought experiment.

If all these things could reduce the need for a second or third doubling of 
nuclear power after 2050, that would be wonderful, but I am not convinced 
that we should skip the first doubling before 2050.  My energy policy 
prognostication: between now and 2025 we'll see a big push toward 
conservation and efficiency, and between 2025 and 2050 we'll see hundreds of 
new nuclear plants.

-dl 



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