On May 11, 8:42 am, Alastair <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> ...
>http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ITCZ
>Note that in the Amazon the ITCZ
> remains roughly in the same position during the year.  If the caloric
> equator moves then it is likely that the position of the ITCZ in
> Amazonia will also move.

Thank you for the prompt and thorough reply.

Michael Tobis --- Thank you as well, but the Wikipedia page shows that
the ITCZ varies quite considerably from the equator over the Eastern
Pacific Warm Pool.

In any case, I found

http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/290/5500/2285

entitled "Reconstruction of the Amazon Basin Effective Moisture
Availability over the Past 14,000 Years".  Therein is a graph which
appears to indicate that the caloric equator has been moving north for
about 2000 years.  This alone is enough to predict that the Amazon
basin will revert to savanna, progressively from south to north.  Not
clear that global warming has that much to do with it.

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