On Tue, 2010-01-26 at 18:29 -0800, Michael Lewis wrote: > Phil Hays wrote Michael Lewis wrote: > >> Complex adaptive systems are unpredictable. Therefore linear > >> mathematical models can never predict complex adaptive systems reactions > >> to specific input. The further down the timeline one attempts > >> predictions, the farther off they will be. > >> > > > > So then a small input like a little change in CO2 level or in the > > distribution of sunlight due to orbit change would not correlate with > > the climate over a long time interval. Is this a fair statement of your > > position? If not, please restate it. > > > > ... a small input like a little change in CO2 level or in the > distribution of sunlight due to orbit change may or may not correlate with > the climate over a long time interval.
In other words, you refuse to answer the question. You are so sure that there will be no correlation between human CO2 releases and future climate, but still refuse to state an opinion as to if past CO2 levels and/or the subtle changes in heat patterns from orbital changes correlate with past climates over long periods of time. http://www.es.ucsc.edu/~rcoe/eart206/Hays_OrbitPacemaker_Science76.pdf http://www.daycreek.com/dc/images/1999.pdf If past forcing (CO2 and orbital changes) is correlated with climate, why will future climate not be correlated with forcing (human release of CO2)? -- Phil Hays <phil_h...@ieee.org> -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups Global Change ("globalchange") newsgroup. Global Change is a public, moderated venue for discussion of science, technology, economics and policy dimensions of global environmental change. Posts will be admitted to the list if and only if any moderator finds the submission to be constructive and/or interesting, on topic, and not gratuitously rude. To post to this group, send email to globalchange@googlegroups.com To unsubscribe from this group, send email to globalchange-unsubscr...@googlegroups.com For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/globalchange
