Does CO2 belong in that index? I don't see how it is a proxy for
climate change.

Also, the web site states that a rising index indicates a change away
from 'stable climate'. What evidence is there that a warmer climate is
less stable? Historically colder is less stable (ice ages).


On May 23, 1:56 pm, Owen Gaffney <[email protected]> wrote:
> In December 2009 we released something close to what you describe - a
> climate change index that relentlessly increases.
>
> http://www.igbp.net/page.php?pid=504
>
> The index brings together sea level rise, Arctic sea ice, temperature
> and CO2.
>
> Going back to 1980 the index only falls in three years - the biggest
> dip could be related to the Pinatubo eruption in 1991. We plan to
> release the most up-to-date index shortly.
>
> Owen
>
> On May 13, 3:43 pm, Tom Adams <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>
>
>
>
> > I guess the AGW hypothesis implies that the energy of Earth system is
> > relentlessly increasing.
>
> > It might be nice to have a measurable proxy parameter for that energy
> > that is relentlessly increasing year after year.
>
> > Such a parameter could become like the Dow Jones Industrial Average of
> > AGW, it might be more convincing to the general public to focus
> > attention on a relentlessly increasing parameter.
>
> > The thermal expansion of the oceans might be a suitable parameter of
> > this sort.
>
> > I have the impression that denying or explaining away of the thermal
> > expansion of the oceans is difficult, but I am not sure about this.  I
> > don't want to underestimate the creativity or PR prowess of the
> > deniers.
>
> > The general characteristics of this parameter:
>
> > 1.  Captures a good bit of the Earth's AGW-induced energy increase
> > relatively quickly
>
> > 2.  Easy to explain to the public and hard to deny or explain away.
>
> > 3.  Increases relentlessly year over year (assuming a big volcano or
> > something does not cause a temporary halt to warming, if that is
> > possible.)
>
> > Of course, there are a lot of ocean-related parameters of interest
> > (runoff, ice extent, sea-level rise).  To paraphrase James Carville:
>
> > "It's the oceans, stupid"
>
> > Coined from Carville's "It's the economy, stupid":
>
> >http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/It's_the_economy,_stupid
>
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