wonderful,

All things regarding fooling and fools have been conveyed fully by your
article..




Thanks
Suchita Ambardekar.
http://www.suchitaambardekar.blogspot.com



On Sat, Apr 25, 2009 at 9:29 AM, Tanmay G. Purohit
<[email protected]>wrote:

>   *Dear all,*
>
> * *
>
> *It is pleasure writing to everyone after a long time on few issues which
> is of major concern about market now. Now Pyramid Saimira forgery case is
> hitting headline and we would not go in detail of the case; our concern is
> safety of the investor. *
>
> * *
>
> *Jim Rogers famously said; Get inside information from the president and
> you will probably lose half your money. If you get it from the chairman of
> the board, you will lose all of your money. *
>
> *  *
>
> *Many times I have advised not to take investment decision based Rumors or
> Tips as many call it, as many time vested interest is always there. Many
> branches wanted to know about some operated stock where I have normally
> warned them not to follow or at least not to ask me.  Many say I have inside
> information that market is going to fall or rise Indian market is like an
> ocean and can’t be controlled by few big people and we have seen this over
> many years as many have failed.*
>
> * *
>
> *There are few stock with low floating stock or small market cap where it
> can be operated, that is where we have cautioned many times. I never
> believed in Multi bagger as I have no brilliance in finding one, and I never
> wished to waste hard earned money in experimenting as 1 out of 100 or 1000
> stock have become multi bagger. *
>
> * *
>
> *Playing market volatility in a simple, tried and tested way reasonable
> returns has been earned and till now in 2years and 6month, 6list was
> introduced  VALUE-24, CONTRAINAN-24, QUICK15+6, ARG30, COMPACT-15 and
> FANTASTIC-15 and only ARG-30 didn’t perform well.  Where we have used simple
> method of buying good stocks in bad time as correction has been part and
> parcel of market, most of the time we were in top 200 stocks for 80% of our
> investment. *
>
> * *
>
> *Our objective has been simple as worldwide interest rate is again near
> zero and any returns above 20% P.A would be reasonable, never try to double
> you money in short time, as saying goes only by folding the currency only it
> can be possible. Equity as an investment avenue has been always better if
> risk is understood and if informed decision has been taken. *
>
> * *
>
> * *
>
> *The "Bigger Fool" Theory **(This has been send before just a reminder
> now).***
>
> *Small investors fall prey to day trading practices in a manifestation of
> the "bigger fool" theory: This is the financial market version of "jumping
> on the bandwagon" -- without examining the actual worth of the stock or the
> company, traders blindly buy whichever stocks other traders are buying,
> building the illusion of a "hot" stock through rumor and day trader
> behavior. *
>
> *While large investors tend to have experience and a better appreciation
> for the fundamentals of the businesses in which they trade, poorly based
> decisions can affect the stocks of entire industries when large numbers of
> small investors get together to form a "medium-sized shark. Because of the
> "Bigger Fool" theory, this can work until the market runs out of bigger
> fools, at which point an overvalued stock will come crashing down. *
>
> *There is a widely held theory in economics called the Bigger Fool Theory,
> which states: Buy a stock and you'll make money as long as some other fool
> is willing to buy the stock from you at a higher price in order to sell it
> to an even bigger fool at an even higher price. (Crash, p. 15) Day traders
> and others who ignore the business behind a stock, focusing instead upon
> rumors, hunches and trends, make their money because of this principle. It
> doesn't matter how overvalued a stock is as long as there are enough people
> who think they can still make a profit off of it. Networks of day traders
> who follow the same strategies and listen to the same rumors often provide
> each other with the bigger fools necessary to make their profits. *
>
> * *
>
> *But what will happen when reality catches up? *
>
> *Investor and trader lose their hard earned money and stocks which they
> had thought would help them in future financial planning would erode the
> plan.*
>
> *What would be best investment advice? *
>
> *Always divide risk have more than 15-20 stock as minimum, we are not
> Warren Buffet to part own a company and impose our rules. Invest in best
> management practiced companies. *
>
> *Never try to catch a top or bottom (Bottom is always dirty) invest
> specified amount on regular basis on good growth companies. If you are an
> investor never hedge your position (Option are ice-cream it always melt). In
> case of fear increase your cash position so that you can average in case of
> correction.*
>
> * *
>
> *Important point I noticed is many withdrew money from market around
> 8000-10000 Point in Sensex fearing market would come to 6000-5000, and we
> never said this is bottom you buy, recollect buy 50% now if market goes down
> to 5000 we will buy another 50%.   Time spent in the market is more
> important than timing the market, so always try to manage your cash position
> as per trend but always be invested minimum 20% at any given point of time.
> *
>
> * *
>
> * Indian stock market has made many transformation, and now handling of
> SATYAM & Investigation of PYRAMID SAIMIRA point to better handling of
> crisis, still we have long way to go. *
>
> * *
>
> *To conclude investor should understand “Buyer Beware” is always better
> than to repent latter, there are so much information available today, use
> that to maximum before any investment decision is made.*
>
> >
>

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