The Indian IT services sector may see up to five per cent layoffs -
amounting to more than one lakh job cuts - over the next six months as
companies focus more on cost-cutting due to persisting weakness in global
demand, experts say.

Companies may reduce workforce in this fiscal, mostly based on stringent
performance criteria, experts added.

"We expect the knowledge industry (IT) to see 3-5 per cent non-voluntary
exits in the first two quarters of the financial year mainly in senior and
middle levels," P Thiruvengadam, senior director (Management Consultancy
Services), Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu told *PTI*.

Given the fact that more than 22 lakh people work in the IT industry, five
per cent non-voluntary exits would mean more than one lakh employees being
shown the door by September.

Nasscom estimates more than 22 lakh people were working in the Indian IT-BPO
sector in FY2009 (till February), while indirect job creation is estimated
at about eight million.

C S Venkata Ratnam, director, International Management Institute (IMI) said,
"The IT sector is better off but it may see up to 4-5 per cent job losses in
the first two quarters of this fiscal."

The global financial turmoil has also hit the country's other export-related
sectors including textiles and some unorganised industries like auto
ancillaries, Venkata Ratnam said.

Besides, IT services (including engineering services, R&D, software
products) exports, BPO exports and the domestic IT industry provide direct
employment to 9,47,000, 7,90,000 and 5,00,000 people, respectively, Nasscom
says.

The next 5-6 months would be critical for companies in deciding on job cuts.
At present, layoffs are very few and more companies have frozen hiring to
tackle the economic slowdown, Thiruvengadam said.

Last week, third-largest software exporter Wipro [Get
Quote<http://money.rediff.com/money/jsp/quote_process.jsp?query=wipro%20ltd>
] said it would freeze salary hikes and is uncertain about campus
recruitment.

Further, as per government data, over one lakh people lost jobs in the
export sector due to the global downturn.

Asked about what strategy they are advising, experts said adopting a
wait-and-watch policy and a mature outlook would be the best policy.

"If professionals aim towards multi-skilling and put in extra efforts to
dabble in other areas of work as well, they stand a chance of becoming
indispensable to their companies," Thiruvengadam said.

http://business.rediff.com/report/2009/apr/27/bcrisis-it-services-may-see-over-1-lakh-layoffs.htm

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