*Retail investors may have missed the bus *

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Retail investors do not appear to have taken cues from the FII buying from
the second-half of March.
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 *Vidya Bala *

Retail investors who missed the bus to Sensex 14000 would have been cursing
their bad luck on “Green Monday”.

Individual investors who directly invest in equities may not have made the
best of the 75 per cent rally witnessed by the Sensex since its March 9 low.
The BSE category-wise turnover data suggests that retail investors have
consistently been in sell mode since the March 9 lows.
Net sellers

 The turnover in the clients category from March 9 till May 15 suggests that
retail investors have been net sellers of about Rs 6,600 crore in the BSE
alone over this period. This category of investors have been net buyers on
only nine of the 42 trading sessions since March 9, steadily offloading
stocks, perhaps having lost the conviction to buy.

In contrast, FIIs have been net buyers on 31 trading sessions.

It is to be noted that the category-wise turnover provided by the BSE
excludes turnover at the NSE for the retail category, while the data on
foreign and domestic institutions includes turnover of both the stock
exchanges. The data has, therefore, been used to analyse the trend in each
segment; no comparison across categories can be made.
Losing conviction

 Interestingly, retail investors easily spotted a buying opportunity during
the October 27 low when the market touched 8510. They bought more than what
they sold, in the months of October and November. However, the optimism did
not last long, as markets continued to fall. Thereafter, buying activity
came in short spurts followed quickly by net selling.

Retail investors do not appear to have taken cues from the FII buying from
the second-half of March. The results season and the fractured verdict
expected in the polls could have played a part in escalating their
scepticism.
DIIs in buy mode

 Retail investors may however take comfort from the fact that their mutual
fund investments, if any, could have participated in the rally to some
extent. Domestic institutional investors have been net buyers between the
March low and now, although they did resort to selling/profit booking in
April.
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2009/05/19/stories/2009051951761000.htm--

To be a winner, all you need to give is all you have.
                                                    ekamber

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