*Gold, Silver, Oil, Nat Gas with a Technical Melt Down*
by Chris Vermeulen

Source: http://www.safehaven.com/article-14055.htm

What a week so far!

Everything is playing out exactly as we hoped and expected this week. We
have been so close to a buy signal in gold and silver but Monday's intraday
observations saved us from a nasty trade.

Those of you in love with oil just had a Kiss Good Bye! Better PUT some love
letters together J pardon the pun.

Natural Gas is all bottled up. Can you smell that?

*Gold ETF Trading - Gold Bullion Price Action*

As mentioned in the last couple reports we are currently waiting for a
correction which will hopefully provides us with a low risk entry point.
Since June we have been in a short term down trend, but the longer term
trend is still up. Which is why we are looking for a buy signal and not a
short. The past couple days we have seen gold and silver sell down.

Looks like big floor traders are "running the stops" which is when the
majority of the public is trading all in one direction (up) and the floor
traders manipulate prices to trigger peoples stop orders and shake them out
of the trade before continuing in the direction of the overall longer trend.
This is explained in my Trading Manual for exiting trades for maximum
profits, avoiding the floor traders from running your stops and how to take
advantage of it report. This will all be explained once I have that report
completely written. It is the one thing most traders don't know, yet is the
most crucial knowledge to trade with.

Anyways, for gold and silver we could see more downside but until the
selling dissipates we will wait.

*HUI Index - Gold Stock Index*

In short, on Monday when gold and silver moved higher on weak intraday price
action, gold stocks moved lower telling me smart money was unloading before
bullion tanks. This goes to show how much attention should be made when
trading. I know so many people went long gold Monday only to take a beating
every day since. This is what I like to avoid.

*Silver ETF Trading - Silver Bullion Price Action*

Silver is in the same boat at gold. Popped higher on Monday as novice
traders get sucked in and spit out a day or two later. The worst part is
that PM's could and should reverse soon and move higher. This is what
frustrates people immensely. The average trader is normally right but at the
wrong time. Getting shaken out of a trade only to see it reverse and
continue in the direction you were ready for.

*Natural Gas ETF Trading - Natural Gas Price Action - Weekly Chart*

Natural gas stinks, not much to say here in my opinion. I think it is way
over sold and do not want to short it. I would rather wait for a breakout
and low risk buy setup.

*Crude Oil ETF Trading - Crude Oil Price Action - Daily Chart*

This is the same chart I posted last week of crude oil. Simple breakdown and
retest of both support trend line resistance (The Kiss Good Bye!), and blue
high lighted zone on the chart. Saw it coming and was planning on using DTO
for a nice bear play but prices just ran not providing a low risk entry
point. Great for day traders thought!

Overall I am still bullish on oil, but this just had a feel to it that
selling was about to step in for a quick down draft. This is a high spec
trade and would only last 1-3 days most likely for a quick gain if taken.

*Trading Conclusion:*

Overall it's been a great week. Our golden rocket stock picks are up, and we
are getting the pullback in price for gold and silver which will hopefully
provide us with a low risk entry point shortly.

The energy sector is nothing special in my eyes technically speaking. Those
of you who entered the market in Feb & March with me using XTR.TO energy
dividend fund should be happy as we all received our quarterly dividend
payments of 4%. With the energy sector currently on edge it could be a good
idea to put in a small hedge against our long term dividend energy play
here. Using a leveraged bear energy fund works well for the short term like
HED.TO. Just a small position to counter balance movement of the long
position. I like to hedge some of the long position so that if I am wrong
and prices continue higher then my long position will still make money. But
if I am correct and the market moves lower, my hedge will rise and cover
most (not all) of my losses from my long position. The dividends cover the
balance.

-- 
Regards,
Hiral Thanawala

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