New York: A prominent banking analyst said on Sunday that 150 to 200
more US banks will fail in the current banking crisis, and the
industry’s payments to keep the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp afloat
could eat up 25% of pretax income in 2010.

Richard Bove of Rochdale Securities said this will likely force the
FDIC, which insures deposits, to turn increasingly to non-US banks and
private equity funds to shore up the banking system.

“The difficulty at the moment is finding enough healthy banks to buy
the failing banks,” Bove wrote.

The FDIC is expected on Wednesday to vote on relaxed guidelines for
private equity firms to invest in failed banks, after critics said
previously proposed rules were too harsh and would actually dissuade
firms from making investments.

Bove said that “perhaps another 150 to 200 banks will fail”, on top of
81 so far in 2009, adding stress to the FDIC’s deposit insurance fund.
Three large failures this year -- BankUnited Financial Corp in May,
and Colonial BancGroup Inc, Guaranty Financial Group Inc in August --
collectively cost the fund roughly $10.7 billion. The fund had $13
billion at the end of March.

Regulators closed Guaranty’s banking unit on Friday and sold assets of
the Texas-based lender to Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA. The FDIC
agreed to share in losses with the Spanish bank.

Bove said the FDIC will likely levy special assessments against banks
in the fourth quarter of this year and second quarter of 2010. He said
these assessments could total $11 billion in 2010, on top of the same
amount of regular assessments. “FDIC premiums could be 25% of the
industry’s pretax income,” he wrote.


http://www.financialexpress.com/news/150200-more-US-banks-will-fall-prey-to-crisis-says-analyst/506535/

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