Honest Money Gold and Silver Report: Market Wrap
by Douglas V. Gnazzo
Source: http://www.safehaven.com/article-14343.htm

*Market Wrap

Week Ending 8/28/09*

*The Economy*

Congressman Ron Paul continues his relentless fight for freedom and liberty.
The man is simply amazing. Words cannot express his actions. Here are three
bills he recently introduced.

   - HR 3395: The Health Freedom Act
   - HR 3394: The Health Information Protection Act
   - HR 3396: The Congressional Responsibility & Accountability Act

The first two health bills can be read about here: *Dr. Ron Paul Introduces
Health Freedom Bills!* <http://www.healthfreedomusa.org/?p=3226>

And the second is available in full here: *Congressional Responsibility and
Accountability Act* <http://thomas.loc.gov/home/gpoxmlc111/h3396_ih.xml>.

*Palladium*

We are starting the precious metals off this week with a chart of palladium.
Why? - as the chart shows, palladium rises from the lower right hand corner
of the chart to the upper left hand corner - to a new yearly high: a bullish
signature.

Palladium's bullish posture should bode well for the other metals, which
will likely follow suit. In all rallies, one of the metals is first to begin
the move. It is fascinating that palladium is the leader.

I could speculate ad nauseam as to “why” palladium is moving up, but it
would all be pure conjecture.

Perhaps it's because it fell so far. Maybe the world economy is improving
and the demand for palladium is increasing compared to supply.

Personally, I give the most credence to international hot money flows
looking for a place to park.

*Gold*

Gold gained $1.20 for the week (+0.13%) to close at $954.90. As the chart
below shows, gold has been trading sideways (consolidating) for months now.

A symmetrical triangle has formed and price is getting compressed tighter
and tighter. Soon it will be forced to break out above, or down below its
trend lines.

The weekly chart shows the inverse head & shoulders formation still intact.
As long as the low of the right shoulder is not violated, the set-up exists,
but needs to be fulfilled and confirmed.

The best seasonal period for gold is about to begin (fall to winter) and
many in the gold community are expecting a rally to start, which very well
may happen.

So, I ask the question: what would throw most off the bulls back? A hard
move down to test the lows of the right shoulder comes to mind.

*Silver*

Silver performed much better for the week, adding 0.55 cents or +3.88% to
close at $14.72. A positive MACD crossover occurred on the daily chart. If
overhead resistance can be broken above and sustained, a nice rally may be
forthcoming.

 *Platinum*

Platinum is testing support at its lower trend line. Since last Nov. prices
have moved from the bottom right hand corner of the chart to the upper left
hand corner - a bullish signature.

A series of higher lows have been put in place. Now, a higher high needs to
occur. Overhead resistance is marked by the horizontal white line.

It is interesting to note that palladium has taken over the leadership role
from platinum. What it means I have no idea. Then again - they only pay you
if you're on the right side of the trade; you don't get paid any extra for
knowing why.

*Gold Stocks*

Gold stocks are starting to perk up a bit and had a pretty good week. The
GDX was up just under a dollar (+2.24%) to close at 40.18. It is interesting
to note that the gold stocks outperformed the physical metal this week.

The daily chart below goes back into 2008. It shows that the GDX broke above
overhead resistance in late May, broke below it again in July, and has now
broken above it once more, consolidating sideways in a compressing
symmetrical triangle.

A series of higher lows have been put in place all year - now a higher high
needs to be put in to validate the next leg of the bull market. The chart
looks promising; however, I'm concerned that the gold stock sector is
exposed to overall stock market risk.

The stock market is overextended and if a correction occurs, it could take
the gold sector down with it. It is also possible that the gold stocks move
counter to an overall stock market decline. Anything is possible.

The Hui Index has also formed a symmetrical triangle and price action is
compressing. An outside reversal occurred on Thursday and there was follow
through on Friday.

MACD has made a positive crossover and RSI is turning up. Overhead
resistance is marked by the upper falling trend line (black diagonal line)
and by the upper Bollinger Band (377.78).

Once again, a series of higher lows are in place; however, the August highs
need to be bettered and then the June highs, and there is still further work
after that.

The above excerpt is a small sampling from the latest full-length version
(33 pgs) of this week's market wrap report, available only at the Honest
Money Gold & Silver Report <http://www.honestmoneyreport.com/> website. All
major markets are covered with the emphasis on the precious metals. The
markets are at important inflection points and there will be some big
winners and losers just ahead. A free trial subscription is available by
submitting a request to: [email protected].

Stop by and check out the myriad forms of information available, not only on
investing, but on the history of gold and silver money as mandated by the
Constitution, which is the answer to the present financial crisis, and one's
own personal financial protection. In today's turbulent times, the return of
your money may be more important than the return on your money.

Good luck. Good trading. Good health, and that's a wrap.

-- 
Regards,
Hiral Thanawala

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