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*8th February 2010*   *Inside this report...*
Parag's View: Illusion of knowledge <#126ac7488f10abb2_pv>
Mutual Fund - Monthly Income Plan (MIP) <#126ac7488f10abb2_mip>
Colgate Palmolive (India) Ltd.: Q3 FY10 Result
Update<#126ac7488f10abb2_colgate>
Auto Pace: Monthly Nos - Janaury 2010 <#126ac7488f10abb2_autopace>
  *Parag's
View: Illusion of knowledge*
>From the Archives...
 We have often heard the phrase "knowledge is power." When making investment
decisions, investors often resort to or follow predictions. Basic intuition
would suggest that having more information should increase your knowledge
and thus the accuracy of your predictions.

Empirical studies, however, indicate that additional information does not
necessarily increase actual knowledge, and often leads to the wrong
impression of having gained knowledge; this is known as the illusion of
knowledge. Furthermore, seeking out and relying on information that is
related, but is not relevant to your decision, can have the unwanted effect
of decreasing the accuracy of your predictions, while simultaneously
increasing your confidence in those predictions.
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 *Mutual Fund - Monthly Income Plan (MIP)*
Ashish Shah | [email protected]
 MIPs are a category of mutual funds that invest around 80% to 90% in debt
instruments such as bonds, Govt. securities, T bills, CDs, CPs etc. and the
balance around 10%-20% of the assets are invested into equity. MIPs are
launched with the objective of giving a monthly income to investors, but the
periodicity of payouts depends upon the option chosen by the investor.
Dividend distribution options are monthly, quarterly, half-yearly and
annual. A growth option is also available, where the investors do not
receive regular dividends, but the gains are in the form of capital
appreciation.

Monthly Income Plans of mutual funds do not give a fixed rate of interest
but a dividend. Unlike a bank or corporate fixed deposit, the frequency of
the dividends or the rate of dividend are not guaranteed. The dividend is
not fixed and is declared as a percentage of face value - which is Rs 10.

MIPs can be a good option considering their exposure to debt instruments.
These will help investors to maintain a low-risk portfolio and generate
regular and stable returns under rising equity market scenario.
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 *Colgate Palmolive (India) Ltd.: Q3 FY10 Result Update*
Ruchak Mehta | [email protected]
 Colgate Palmolive (India) Ltd reported a good set of numbers for the
quarter ended December 2009. The company's topline continued to grow well
while increasing its market share in toothpastes and toothbrushes.

On a Y-o-Y basis, the company's topline grew by 17%, to Rs.4,906.1 Mn from
Rs.4,192.2 Mn. This was on the back of a strong 13% volume growth. Operating
Profits shot up to Rs.1,008.3 Mn from Rs.745.7 Mn in Q3FY09, a jump of
35.22%. Apart from the growth in topline, the rise in OPM was primarily due
to a cutdown in Other Expenditure. A&SP was increased by 59% y-o-y and
stands at 15.3% of Sales which we feel is healthy. Consequently, Total
Expenditure increased by only 13% and OPM improved by a strong 276 bps to
20.55%. Reported PAT stood at Rs.1,163.9 Mn as against Rs.777.4 Mn for the
same period, the year before, an increase of 49.72% while EPS grew to Rs.8.6
from Rs.5.7. 
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 *Auto Pace: Monthly Nos - Janaury 2010*
Anuj Anandwala | [email protected]
 Begining January 2010, we initiate coverage on "Monthly Auto Nos." We would
be covering the sector on a broader basis.

Please find here attached, *Auto Pace: Monthly Nos - January 2010.* We would
be glad to answer any queries with regard to this report.

 *Burning the Fast Lane - Month of Record Sales!
**Auto Pace: Monthly Nos - January 2010*

*A zipping start to calendar year 2010-*

- marks a milestone in the automotive journey of the country. The sales
growth achieved is significant in light of the low base effect created in
the same period last year. Overall, January 2010 auto sales numbers were
broadly in line with market expectations with continued momentum in car and
motorcycle sales maintained. Truck sales were also boosted by a low base
effect. Going ahead, demand outlook remains healthy as the auto industry is
expected to break its boom-year sales record of 10 million units this fiscal
at a growth of ~10%, projected by Society of Indian Automobile Manufactures
(SIAM). The 10 million sales mark was last touched in 2006-07.
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  If you have a query please email us at [email protected]. We would be
glad to answer any queries with regard to this report.
*Parag Parikh Financial Advisory Services Limited*
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Fort, Mumbai - 400 001 INDIA.
Tel : 91 22 2284 6555 Fax : 91 22 2284 6553


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!! anuj anandwala !!

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