1 day late - on speculation?

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-----Original Message-----
From: Gautam Bajaj <[email protected]>
Sent: 29 April 2010 12:54 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: {GS} [Equity + Nifty - Positional Strategies] VIX breakout?


Take a look at the attached chart of the VIX. It "seems" to have broken out. 

What does that mean to me? Well, if the VIX is in an uptrend, the Markets 
(Nifty/Sensex) will correct. On the other hand, if VIX is in a downtrend, the 
markets experience new highs. 

I do not know if this is a FALSE breakout. However, all break-outs usually 
retest the base of the channel before moving up. If we did see a break out 
today, we can expect the VIX to retest the base and then move up - this could 
indicate that we may see a few bullish days before moving DOWN 

Alternatively, if the VIX heads back down below the channel we may have another 
upmove for a new high.

Keep in mind the dates that I wrote about - 5th and 7th May could be days when 
Nifty is at it's lowest. Let's see how this spans out.

For tomorrow - Nifty will retest 5240 / 50 / 60 (try to short at higher levels 
- May Series) and hold until the 5th / 7th of May.

We will look to buy stocks around this time frame.

Read more below about VIX:


What is VIX?

India VIX, a volatility index based on the Nifty 50 Options prices, thus 
reflecting the market’s expectations of volatility over the near term. 

The India VIX is a simple but useful tool aimed to assist investors in 
regulating the overall volatility of the market. The volatility index is not 
only used as an indicator of implied volatility of the market but also provides 
information on various tradable pro

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