http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/iw/2010/06/06/stories/2010060650050600.htm

Reliance Communications was pulped in the market crash of 2008 and the stock
reeled lower from the peak of Rs 845 to Rs 131 by March 2009. The recovery
in 2009 could retrace only one-third of this fall emphasizing that the
long-term outlook remained weak. The stock reversed lower in the last
quarter of 2009 and is currently testing its long-term support once again.

A double-bottom was formed when the stock reversed from Rs 131 in May this
year. But the recovery has to gain strength before we can say that the worst
is over. Immediate targets for the current up move are Rs 180 and Rs 200.
Investors with a short- to medium-term perspective can take some money off
the table if the stock fails to close above Rs 200.

Fresh purchases with long-term perspective are recommended only on a close
above Rs 220. Investors with a greater penchant for risk can buy at current
levels with stop at Rs 120. Key long-term resistance band for the stock is
between Rs 360 and Rs 400.
We do not recommend averaging since it means offsetting profit in one trade
against the loss in another. The loss can exacerbate if the stock continues
moving lower after averaging. Cutting the loss and exiting the position is
always the better option in such situations.


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