*he newly-entered fund house Pramerica Mutual Fund’s new fund offer comes
with an option of a ‘dynamic plan’ that adjusts the fund’s exposure in tune
with market valuation. It is a marketing gimmick—as the examples of three
other funds show*
 Pramerica Mutual Fund, sponsored by the US-based Prudential Financial firm
which received the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) approval to
enter the mutual fund business in India last month, has filed a draft offer
document to launch the ‘Pramerica Growth Fund’. Pramerica has also filed its
draft offer document with the regulator for its ‘Pramerica Liquid Fund’ and
Pramerica ‘Ultra Short Term Bond Fund’ on 16 June 2010.

The ‘Pramerica Growth Fund’ scheme comes with two plans. The first one is an
equity plan and the second is dynamic. The Equity Plan will invest 35% of
its portfolio in debt and 65% in equity. Around 60% of this portfolio will
be mainly invested in large-cap companies which comprise the top 75% of the
total market capitalisation of the National Stock Exchange (NSE).

Under the dynamic plan, 30% of the portfolio will have exposure to equity
and up to 70% in debt. The debt portion of the dynamic plan will be actively
managed while the equity portfolio of the plan will closely replicate the
equity investments of the ‘Equity Plan’.

The fund house will use Pramerica Dynamic Asset Rebalancing Tool (‘Pramerica
DART’ tool) which will determine the allocation between equity and debt.
According to the prospectus, Pramerica DART works on the philosophy of mean
reversion. The theory of mean revision suggests that prices and returns
eventually move back towards the long-term average. Such an average can be
the historical average of price or return.

The model factors in three elements like fundamentals, liquidity and
volatility. DART assigns a score which indicates whether the stocks are
undervalued or over-valued. Based on these scores, the model then calculates
the optimum equity-debt mix.

Will DART hit the bull’s eye? Ideas of moving between equity and debt are
old and usually add no value to investors. Tata Mutual Fund had launched a
similar fund called ‘Tata Equity Management Fund’ in June 2006 which came up
with a novel method of pre-deciding the exact quantum of hedging under
different market conditions. TEMF, like anybody else, banked on historical
data of high and low P/Es to determine degrees of overvaluation.
*Moneylife*had previously reported about the scheme when it was first
launched. (Read
here: http://www.moneylife.in/article/81/5319.html). This was too simplistic
and the scheme has not lived up to its promise. The fund has posted 9.14%
return since inception while its benchmark S&P CNX Nifty has posted 18.96%
since the fund’s inception.

How have the other funds with similar strategies done? HSBC had launched its
‘HSBC Dynamic Fund’ in August 2007. This fund is benchmarked against the BSE
200. The fund has posted -1.79% returns since inception while its benchmark
has yielded 7.53% returns since the fund’s inception.

Similarly, ICICI Prudential launched ‘ICICI Dynamic Fund’ in October 2002.
The scheme is benchmarked against the S&P CNX Nifty. The fund has yielded
34.98% since inception while its benchmark has yielded a whopping 58.07%
return in the same period.

The ability of fund managers to time the market is a myth, as these three
examples show. But fund companies never tire of marketing them, as the
Pramerica example shows


--
Posted By FinPower to FinPower-"For Your Financial
Power"<http://finpower.blogspot.com/2010/06/pramericas-dart-to-nimbly-move-between.html>at
6/23/2010 05:01:00 AM



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