*Fall in output, prices may hit cement cos' Q1 profits *

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  *Year-on-year growth due to some firms adding fresh capacity. *


 Suresh P. Iyengar

Mumbai, July 7

Sharp fall in production coupled with high input cost and dip in prices may
impact the profitability of cement companies in the first quarter of this
fiscal.

Some of the cement companies such as India Cements, Birla Corporation, Shree
Cements and Grasim Industries that have registered a year-on-year growth in
production were largely due to the fresh capacity additions in the recent
months.

India Cements will shortly commission its 1.4 million tonne per annum (mtpa)
plant in Rajasthan. ACC will ramp-up production at its recently commissioned
1.2 mtpa plant in Orissa and three mtpa capacity in Karnataka starting this
month. ACC will also add another three mtpa of capacity through expansion in
Maharashtra by December. The decline in output during the June quarter when
compared on a sequential basis reflects the true picture of the industry,
said an analyst.

With the new capacity additions going on stream, utilisation has fallen to
79 per cent during the first quarter of this fiscal against 90 per cent in
the same period last year. It was 88 per cent in the March quarter. The
industry has added 50 mtpa of fresh capacity in the last one year.

After a recovery in April, the demand slowed down with the onset of monsoon
in the western and northern markets. The southern region was impacted by
fall in demand from the Government-sponsored infrastructure projects in
Andhra Pradesh.

“The organised real-estate segment is witnessing a gradual recovery.
Increase in launch of new housing projects would drive cement consumption
with a lag of six months,” said a cement company official.

COST PRESSURE

Coal prices are on the uptrend in the last few months due to increase in
demand. Though domestic coal prices have more or less remained stable,
reduction in supply through linkages by State-owned Coal India pushed up the
production cost. Procurement through e-auction had pushed up production cost
by about Rs 30-40 a tonne, said a cement company official. Imported coal
prices have gone up by 14 per cent on a sequential basis. The rise in petrol
and diesel prices is expected to push up cost by 6-10 per cent, he said.

Prices down

Notwithstanding the rising input cost, cement prices have been on the
decline since May. Weak demand has pulled down prices by Rs 20-25 for 50 kg
bag year-on-year and is expected to remain volatile till end of this year,
said Mr V. Sanjay, a Mumbai-based cement dealer.

http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2010/07/08/stories/2010070851580200.htm

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