Provided below are prima-facie updates rgdg. Robust Q1 results posted
by Riddhi Siddhi Gluco Biols.

Materials include Interaction of Riddhi MD with CNBC TV18 ; my brief
discussion rgdg. the reults with my fellow financial fraternity
members ; reasons as to why now Base Price for trading of Riddhi
Siddhi's shares on the bourses shifts upwards to Rs. 450 /-

I will come out with detailed report on scenario for Riddhi after Q1
results soon.


------------Interaction with MD------------------------

Will meet Rs 1000 cr FY11 sales target: Riddhi Siddhi Gluco..

Jul 23, 2010 at 03.12 PM


Riddhi Siddhi Gluco has come out with its first quarter results.
Ganpatraj Chowdhary, MD, Riddhi Siddhi Gluco spoke about the company's
first quarter performance to CNBC-TV18. Below is the edited transcript
of Ganpatraj Chowdhary's interview on CNBC TV18.


Q Riddhi Siddhi Gluco Biols has posted excellent Q1 FY11 numbers. Even
FY10 was exceptionally good. Please take us through the numbers.

A: We have begun the year on a very good not. Have very good
utilization of all three manufacturing location. Have introduced new
products with good margin. So have grown in turnover 30% up and so is
our EBIDTA margin.

Q: Why is your FY11 guidance lower?

A: Normally is is better to be little conservative. But now we are
hoping to revise our guidance. We will be able to increase our margin
level from 15-16% to 17.5-18.5% in this year.

Q: You indicated a topline growth of Rs 1000 crore. Is it a doable
target in FY11?

A. I repeat, we will definitely meet the sales target of Rs 1000 cr in
the current financial year.

Q. Has your expansion plans been completed?

A; Yes. Fully completed

Q. What's the capacity utilization?

A: All plants are running at a 90% plus capacity. The currently
commissioned plant (Pantnagar), we are sure we will get good
contribution on our topline and bottomlin




-----------------My Brief Discussion Rgdg.
Results-------------------------------

The Q1 results just announced by Riddhi are not atall an aberration.
They are reality and if you closely look at the history of the company
then these numbers can very well be called a certainity.

I continuously stressed in my report and replies that time is ripe for
Riddhi to reap the fruits of all the investments the company has done
in last so many years. Let's first briefly discuss the results just
announced :

The revenue is up around 30 % YoY but has declined sequentially but
this is the normal trend. NP that you see includes insurance claim of
2007 received now and deducting that, NP comes to around 27 odd crores
which is 500 % jump YoY and 125 % jump sequentially. Still, even at 27
cr. this translates into start of an excellent trend of improving
operational efficiences achieved by the company. This is due to two
reasons, first sharp reduction in debtor days which means less
pressure on managing working capital requirement. Second reason for
this is that company has procured almost all the raw material
requirement at a lower rate as company has the policy of procuring all
the raw material between December and March and maize prices were
under severe pressure in that period; hence company is benefiting from
its strong internal policies and so you can see vast improvement in
OPM and NPM.

The results are surely on the positive side and has beaten the street
by wide margins and one can expect significant rerating of the company
in the near future. I will be coming out with detailed report on
scenario after Q1FY11 results for Riddhi Siddhi soon.



-------------------------Justification of Base Price of Riddhi
shifting upwards to Rs. 450---------


There is an old saying that one should not extrapolate one qrtr.
Results to other qrtrs. Performance. One is very right in his saying
that it will be wrong to extrapolate one quarter performance to others
but one fact everybody should remember is that earning in stock market
is clearly the byproduct of near-to-correct projection of the things
to come and for that you need to closely look at the history and
precisely project the future. In that, although you can`t take 1st
qrtr. performance as a benchmark for entire Fy projection but when, in
a lean qrtr., company performs well then looking at its history you
can easily say that in other qrtrs. it will perform better than the
lean qrtr. Agreed, NPM might fluctuate qrtr. to qrtr. because of the
change of product-mix as well as other parameters but the figure of NP
that Riddhi has aceived in 1st qrtr. itself clearly suggests that FY11
will see a robust NP figure which will ultimately translate into
retiring of some debt and provide financial muscle for sustainable
future-growth of the company. The net profit figure (after deduction
of extraordinary gains) of 27 cr. of Q1 is more than half of that
reported in entire FY10 and this thing you can`t ignore. Now, evenif
Riddhi reports modest NPM as reported in Q3 and Q4 of Fy10 then also
you will see a NP figure of 70 cr. easily getting crossed in FY11
which will translate into an EPS of Rs. 60 + for FY11.


To get to the other point of not benchmarking valaution on trailing
PE, - with a certain EPS of Rs. 60 + for FY11 and the industry leader
status which Riddhi enjoys, it can certainly not trade on a valuation
which is at a discount to its smaller peers like Sukhjit, Gujarat
Ambuja Exports, English Indian Clays or Universal Starch. All of
Riddhi`s peers are historically trading at an average PE of between
7.5-9.5 and even Riddhi has historically traded between 7-8 PE. Hence,
by applying a simple logic of an industry leader trading on par with
its peers, if not at a premium, one can easily set a base price for
Riddhi at around Rs. 450 which entails to a PE of just 7.5 based on
conservative estimate of Rs. 60 EPS for Fy11. Any rate below Rs. 450
suggests undervaluation of Riddhi and so the word used is `base
price`.

In few months from now, one can easily see Riddhi stabilising at a
price band between Rs. 430-500 and if Q2 performance is reported as
robust as Q1 then no one can stop significant rerating of Riddhi in
FY11 itself which might see Riddhi trade at a premium to all its peers
which translates into a price which will be much higher than the base
price. We have a multibagger in our hands.

---------------------------------
Ends---------------------------------------

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