The approach towards investment into risky assets like equity is not
atall a shrewd approach if you need such money for critical purposes
or in the medium term. However, one thing you need to understand that
equity investment into well managed fundamentally sound companies
multiplies your money over a 3-5 years period the way no other
investmestment option multiplies. My approach is to invest in the
companies that have grown consistently over a period of last many
years amidst adverse conditions and are operating in a niche segment
which itself is expected to register a double digit p.a. growth over
the period of atleast next 5 years, that have scope of expansion in
NPM and are professional managed.

Now, with rgds. to plastiblends, although still i am doing a deep
analysis of the company but so far (70 % complete), this company :

(1) looks excellent on balance sheet front with low debt and high
reserves.

(2) The segment in which it is operating viz., masterbatches, has
shown a CAGR of 15 % since last 5 years and is expected to register a
10-15 % p.a. growth till 2015.

(3) It has high promoter holding of 56 + % and its parent company
viz., kabra extrusions has recently announced bonus and has an egm on
26/08 for approval of the same.

(4) Plastiblends is a consistent high dividend paying company and has
reported positive bottomline over the period of last 10 years.

(5) From just 92 cr. topline of FY05, it has attained a 210 cr.
topline in FY10 with 60 cr. of that already achieved in Q1FY11.

(6) It is worthwhile to note here that 60 cr. topline is the highest
qrtrly. topline figure attained by the company in its history of
existence. This is the main attraction towards this company and only
one another good qrtr. will compel its rerating on the bourses.

(7) Management has already given a guidance of 270 cr. topline figure
for FY11 and the management has the track record of under-promising-
and-over-delivering.

(8) A tiny equity capital of 6.49 cr. with 75 cr. reseves and Rs. 126
book value and a robust current FY11 make it a promising candidate for
bonus as well as rerating.

(9) If we put conservative estiimates then Plastiblends is likely to
achieve Rs. 28.70 EPS in FY11 with no equity dilution expected (for
fund raising) over next 3 years.

(10) Even if you forget bonus and concentrate on just fundamentals
then at a P/E of 6.6 and a dividend yield of 3.68 and a market-cap-to-
sales of 0.45 Plastiblends is a safe buy and will remain a safe buy
till the P/E of 8-8.5 xFY11E EPS which is the historical P/E band in
which it is being traded.


The current market is such that you don't know whether it will go into
medium-term correction or will reach new highs. Hence, you need to
invest in such companies which are not going to go down substantially
but are going to go up substantially on discovery. It is under-
ownership factor and non-discovery factor that you need to bet on and
this requires a lot of hard work. I advice on only those companies in
which I have conviction and I put my own money into it. I do a
thorough research and to put plastiblends call without detailed
analysis was the reason of the fact that the stock is showing
accumulation pattern since last many days and in case of any upward
spike in price before my analysis gets complete I don't want readers
to loose out.

I still maintain that Riddhi Siddhi is the safest buy in current
market followed by plastiblends. On simran farms i have already
advised booking profits.

Rgds.
Mahesh

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