*Cinemax India: Buy *

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Rise in footfalls, increase in ticket prices and higher spending by the
audience on food and beverages could boost the company's earnings.
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Releases such as ‘Tees Maar Khan' attract viewers to multiplexes as they
feature superstars.

K. Venkatasubramanian

For multiplex operators such as Cinemax, a reviving economy has meant higher
footfalls, increase in ticket prices and higher spending by the cinema
audience on food and beverages, all aiding the company's earnings. Investors
with a one-two year horizon can buy the shares of Cinemax India.

The company is scaling up its operations by steadily increasing its presence
in both Tier-1 and Tier-2 cities. A bunch of high-profile releases too
should set the box office counters ringing.

At Rs 53, the share trades at 13 times its likely FY12 per share earnings.
This is at a discount to Fame India, despite Cinemax's bigger scale of
operations.

In FY-10, the company saw its revenues increase by 16.3 per cent over the
previous fiscal to Rs 168.1 crore, while net profits expanded by 53.6 per
cent to Rs 16.9 crore, of which Rs 10.5 crore is accounted for by taxes
written back and deferred.

The first half of 2009-10 was a challenging one, with the stand-off with
distributors over quantum of revenue-sharing delaying fresh releases and
affecting the revenues for several multiplex operators. But from the second
half of last fiscal, there has been a strong revival with box-office hits
such as 3 Idiots, having the audience flock to multiplex screens.

In the first half of FY-11, Cinemax has witnessed a 51 per cent rise in
revenues to Rs 96.6 crore compared with the same period last year, while net
profits increased by 92.9 per cent to Rs 3.55 crore.

Better operating metrics

Over the last couple of quarters, movies such as Dabangg(a blockbuster),
Once Upon A Time In Mumbai and Peepli Live, which were hits, helped
collections for Cinemax. Its occupancy has risen from sub-20 per cent levels
to 23 per cent on the back of films such as those mentioned earlier. The
average ticket price has risen from Rs 128 last year to Rs 138 levels
currently, while spending per head on food and beverages has risen to Rs 38,
up 12.9 per cent. This has helped the company expand its operating margins
by about 3 percentage points to 17 percent levels in the first half of this
year.

With the festive season concentrated in the current quarter, Cinemax may see
further improvement in realisations compared to the last couple of quarters.
It hopes to manage 18-19 percent margin levels this fiscal.

A slew of releases such as Tees Maar Khan, Saat Khoon Maaf and Dil To Bacha
Hai Ji make the viewers flock to multiplex halls as these feature a
heavy-duty star cast — the likes of Akshay Kumar, Priyanka Chopra and Ajay
Devgan.

Scaling operations

Cinemax is also steadily increasing its scale of operations by getting into
new locations, which gives it an enhanced number of screens. The company now
operates in 29 locations and has 94 screens under its fold. Much of this is
concentrated in Mumbai, a lucrative market, and the rest of Maharashtra. It
also has presence in Kolkata and smaller towns such as Kanpur and Cochin.

Cinemax has increased its footprint in recent times by getting into
high-potential States such as Gujarat, by making its presence felt in
Ahmedabad and Vadodara.


 Over this fiscal, the company would also commence operations in highly
lucrative markets such as Delhi, Bangalore and Hyderabad. This increased
presence and scale would allow it to take on larger multiplex operators such
as PVR and Inox.

The company has also undertaken cost optimisation to reduce electricity
bills. Power and fuel, as a proportion of revenues, have fallen by about 3
percentage points to 13 per cent currently as the company has switched
vendors for its power supply in some of its theatres in Mumbai.



-- 

adbuth

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