*RUPEE DESK: Capital Goods Stocks Outlook for the week (18-22.06.2012)***
Stocks of capital goods and engineering companies, in early trade on Monday, are likely to track the broad market, which in turn will take cues from the outcome of elections in Greece on Sunday. Investors will also keenly watch the Reserve Bank of India's mid-quarter monetary policy review on Monday for direction. Thermax Managing Director M.S. Unnikrishnan told that he expects the RBI to cut the repo rate by 25 basis points, along with 100-basis points cut in cash reserve ratio. He said there is a cash crunch in the Indian economy and the RBI needs to cut CRR to make more money available to banks. After release of dismal index of industrial production data earlier this week, we believe a pro-industry policy stance by the government and the RBI is a prerequisite to revive growth in the Indian capital goods and engineering industry. The 16.3% degrowth in capital goods dragged down IIP growth by 2.3% barring which IIP growth would have recorded 2.4% growth. We expect Larsen & Toubro Ltd as their favourites in the capital goods and engineering space. While we assume a gradual uptick in the overall investment sentiment, policy initiatives remain a key risk to our call. We retain L&T as our top pick in the industrials space and expect it to outperform over the next 12-15 months on the back of an overall industrial demand recovery. By RUPEE DESK [email protected] www.rupeedesk.in -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups ""GLOBAL SPECULATORS"" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected]. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/globalspeculators?hl=en.
