sandip sabharwal <http://www.sandipsabharwal.com>
------------------------------

DON’T FEAR FED TAPERING FOR THE RIGHT
REASONS<http://www.sandipsabharwal.com/dont-fear-fed-tapering-right-reasons/>

Posted: 01 Dec 2013 07:45 PM PST

Over the last six months the talk of FED Tapering has created huge
volatility in global financial markets; equities, bonds and currencies. The
first part of the Tapering talk was clearly an attempt by the US FED to
take the bond markets out of euphoric states where it clearly saw that US
10 year bond yield of 1.25-1.5% were not sustainable and excessive risk was
being taken by market participants betting on ultra low long term yields
over the long run. The yield curve has not adjusted with US long term bonds
near levels that are more correlated with longer term growth and inflation
outlook. It is also clear that the long term bull market in bonds is now
more or less over with bond yields looking to move up over the longer time
frame. However given low inflationary pressures and high unemployment in
most developed economies, the probability of very high yields in such a
situation is low.

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CA. Rajesh Desai

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