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From: Dilip D'Souza: Death Ends Fun <[email protected]>
Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2026 at 16:49
Subject: Vasco, and a supernova discovered
Dilip D'Souza: Death Ends Fun <https://deathendsfun.stck.me>
Vasco, and a supernova discovered
<https://deathendsfun.stck.me/post/1553633/Vasco-and-a-supernova-discovered?utm_medium=email>
A supernova there?

On a stargazing trip between September 19 and September 23 this year, I
spied a supernova.

Well, not quite. I took plenty of photographs of a spectacular night sky
through the four nights I spent out in the open. Then I came home and
looked through them, still filled with wonder at what I had captured. Then
I read some astronomy news. Then I returned to my photographs and looked
through again, this time in some frantic urgency.

Then I had to (figuratively) sit down. For there it was. The supernova. In
my photograph.

That is: On September 23, there was news
<https://skyandtelescope.org/astronomy-news/bright-nova-flares-near-alpha-centauri/>
that an amateur astronomer in Australia, John Seach, had discovered a
supernova in Sagittarius two days earlier. In fact, and astonishingly, he
had discovered two supernovae on successive days. The brighter of the two
was only visible in the Southern hemisphere. But the other one was in the
constellation of Sagittarius. Because I had pointed my camera at the Milky
Way so often through my trip, Sagittarius was in several of my photographs.

I pored over all of them. I had several images from before September 21,
and several more from after. All I needed to do was find a dot in a
post-September 21 photograph that wasn't there in a pre-September 21
photograph. You might wonder how, in images with thousands of dots - that's
how spectacular the night sky was - I could even think of finding a
specific one. But the report from Australia had an image locating the
supernova just "below" Sagittarius. So I knew pretty much exactly where in
my photographs to look for it.
No dot there, September 20 2025

And to my amazed delight, I actually did find such a dot, precisely where I
expected it. There on September 22. Not there on September 20. The
supernova, on my laptop.

A few caveats.

First, a supernova, yet a mere dot? After all, a supernova is a star that
ends its life in a vast explosion. In 2015, for example, astronomers
discovered one that's been named ASASSN-15lh
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ASASSN-15lh>. They estimated that this
single exploded star was, at its peak, 570 billion times brighter than our
Sun, and 20 times brighter than the entire Milky Way Galaxy. One star! Not
an explosion you would want to be within a light year, or even a hundred,
of. So why would such a cataclysm register as a mere dot?

Because it is so far from us. ASASSN-15lh was nearly 4 million light years
away. The one in Sagittarius, now known as V7994 Sagittarii, is much closer
- only 25,000 light years from us. Still, those are vast distances, and
they will shrink even huge cataclysms to tiny dots.

Second, "find" and "discover" have slightly different meanings in such
situations. John Seach certainly "found" V7994 Sagittarii, but it didn't
actually explode on that September day. Since it is 25,000 light years
away, the light from the explosion took 25,000 years to reach us. Meaning,
the actual explosion was that many years ago. What we see in the night sky
today - whether star, comet, supernova, galaxy or more - is, in a real
sense, a blast from the past. We "discover" events that, in reality,
happened a long time ago.

But those are only caveats. For millions of star enthusiasts like me the
world over, I'm sure, finding a supernova is a great thrill that never
wanes, no pun intended.
Check the dot, the supernova! September 22 2025

And that brings me to VASCO. That name has a certain resonance in India, of
course, especially if we are talking discovery. Vasco da Gama discovered
the sea route to India in the late 15th Century. Though they had known of
India for centuries, Europeans of all stripes now had easier access to this
distant and infinitely enticing land. Yet consider the analogy to
supernovae. The sea route was always there. What is the sense in which it
was "discovered" at all?

Be that imponderable as it may, this is about a different VASCO: the
"Vanishing and Appearing Sources during a Century of Observations Project"
- the acronym inspired, I imagine, by the intrepid da Gama. This project
owes its existence to a team of astronomers that has set out
<https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-3881/ab570f> "to search
for vanishing and appearing sources using existing survey data to find
examples of exceptional astrophysical transients." Why this caught my
attention might be that it pretty much captures exactly what I was trying
to do with my own images when I heard about V7994 Sagittarii. After all, I
was using my own "survey data" to search for an "astrophysical transient" -
the appearance of V7994 Sagittarii.

VASCO's search is, of course, far broader and vastly more diligent and
precise than mine. As one report
<https://(https://www.sciencealert.com/study-links-mysterious-lights-in-the-sky-to-historic-nuclear-tests>
put it, this project is "an effort to identify changes in the night sky
across, well, a century of astronomical observations." To give you an idea
of the scale of this effort, here's a line from VASCO's introductory
academic paper <https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-3881/ab570f>:


"We ... perform the first searches for vanishing objects throughout the sky
by comparing 600 million objects from the US Naval Observatory Catalogue
(USNO) B1.0 ... with the recent Pan-STARRS Data Release-1 (DR1)."

This references two established catalogues of visible stars - USNO
<https://irsa.ipac.caltech.edu/data/USNO/USNO_B1/usnob1_description.html>
from 2002, DR1
<https://www.stsci.edu/contents/newsletters/2019-volume-36-issue-01/the-pan-starrs1-data-archive>
from 2016. VASCO was looking for objects visible in USNO that are not in
DR1, or vice versa. From 600 million objects - that astonishing number
itself only about half the objects in USNO! - VASCO found "about 150,000
preliminary candidates that do not have any Pan-STARRS counterpart".
Further examination produced a list of "about 100 point sources" that
appeared only in USNO, some of which might have been supernovae.

But there's an interesting wrinkle to all this. The USNO catalogue was built
<https://irsa.ipac.caltech.edu/data/USNO/USNO_B1/usnob1_description.html>
by "digitizing scans of almost 7,500 photographic plates taken from various
sky surveys during the interval from 1949 to 2002." In particular, there
are about 2000 plates from the Palomar Observatory Sky Survey (POSS-1) that
happened between 1949 and 1958. In these plates, VASCO found
<https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-21620-3> several transients
"exhibiting characteristics not easily accounted for by prosaic
explanations".

So what might account for them? Well, through the 1950s, the US, the late
Soviet Union and Great Britain conducted over 100 above-ground nuclear
tests. We know that nuclear radiation can "cause a visible glow" in the sky
- the so-called Cherenkov radiation is even blue. In fact, there were
several contemporary reports that "fireballs" and other bursts of light
were seen in the sky after these nuclear tests. Besides, nuclear fallout
might also have contaminated the plates, leaving otherwise inexplicable
spots.

There's much more in this vein that I won't explore here. But there's
enough already for the question VASCO's work raises: is it possible that
the "nuclear age left its fingerprints on the astronomical record"? While
clearly there's a need for further research, the evidence that the VASCO
team found in the POSS-1 data makes that intriguing phrasing seem at least
conceivable.

And me, with this column? That my search in my photos for a supernova would
have me thinking about the idea of discovery, 600 million celestial
objects, nuclear tests from half a century ago, and a famous Portuguese
seafarer - I mean, I was just enchanted. Then I had to write this.

I even returned to a time-lapse video
<https://x.com/DeathEndsFun/status/1975267407565582432> I have from
September 21, showing Sagittarius over a period of about two hours. Had
supernova V7994 Sagittarii appeared - had I "discovered" it - in that time?
No luck.

Apologies, Vasco and VASCO.
------------------------------

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