On 2012-03-10, at 4:49 AM, [Identity deleted because email was addressed to me 
and not the the GOAL list]  wrote:

> Stevan
> You can draw comparative conclusions with MIT 'Google Scholar' search and 
> citation rankings before and after the mandate surely?
> [Deleted]

Yes, one certainly can -- and that comparison (and a number of other potential 
comparisons) can (and I hope will) be done soon (though not necessarily just by 
our research group!).

Yassine Gargouri (of our research group) has done a a preliminary overall 
analysis of deposit rates (not for citations) that found a significant positive 
correlation between mandates and deposit rates, but a more informative result 
will be to compare, year by year, the citation rates for papers from comparable 
mandated and unmandated institutions. 

(Since mandates increase OA and OA increases citations, one would expect a 
significant positive correlation once the number of mandated institutions has 
become big enough, and the mandate has been in effect long enough. But one of 
the variables that needs to be taken into account is that not all kinds of 
mandates are equally effective. Yassine Gargouri's preliminary study on deposit 
rate, which will be posted soon, takes both the age and the "strength" of the 
mandate into account.)

Stevan Harnad

> -----Original Message-----
> To: Global Open Access List (Successor of AmSci)
> Subject: [GOAL] 3-Year Success Signs for MIT's Green OA Mandate
> 
> Three years after the adoption of its Green Open Access Self-Archiving 
> Mandate -- http://roarmap.eprints.org/122/ -- MIT announces that its articles 
> are being downloaded worldwide:
> http://libraries.mit.edu/sites/news/faculty-articles-2/7941/
> 
> (To draw any comparative conclusions, however, comparative data will be 
> needed, for download rates from institutions with comparable research outputs 
> and prestige, but without OA mandates. Raw download stats are otherwise just 
> the sound of one hand clapping...) 
> _______________________________________________


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