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CONVENTION OF THE GOAN DIASPORA FROM GOA INTO THE WORLD
Lisbon, Portugal June 15-17, 2007 Details at: 
http://www.goacom.org/casa-de-goa/noticias.html 
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--- Bosco D'Mello <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> 
>Query/simplified analogy for Mario: If one visits
>your family doctor with a stomach ache, would the
>doctor begin treating you for Non-Hodgkins Lymphoma 
>right away or would (s)he use the "...most likely
>caused..." methodology above in 'troubleshooting'
your >ailment?
> 

Bosco,

I am sure you know that no scientific conclusion about
the cause of a complex phenomenon is stated with an
air of absolute certainty. Even when the evidence is
overwhelming scientists and physicians merely assign a
high probability to an inference derived from it. What
is more, economists assign much lower probability to
their inferences than scientists do because, unlike
science, the scenarios they have to deal with can
never be supported by hard physical evidence. One has
to keep this in mind while weighing the dire
consequences predicted by economics as opposed to the
science of global warming. 

Cheers,

Santosh
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