Very analytical and incisive article. Worth reading from start to end.

Roland.



> On Apr 5, 2020, at 2:04 PM, E DeSousa <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
> Apologies for the bad link. Please use this one.
> 
> https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/how-covid-19-will-hit-india
> 
> 
> ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
> 
> Message: 5
> Date: Sat, 4 Apr 2020 19:57:48 +0000 (UTC)
> From: E DeSousa <[email protected]>
> To: Goanet Org <[email protected]>
> Cc: Frederick Noronha <[email protected]>
> Subject: Re: [Goanet] DISCUSSION: Did India over react on Covid-19?
> Message-ID: <[email protected]>
> Content-Type: text/plain; charset=UTF-8
> 
> Frederick Noronha <[email protected]>
> 
> provides a link to the Covid 19write up in Scroll.
> 
> https://scroll.in/pulse/957883/did-india-overreact-covid-19-outbreak-isnt-following-the-trajectory-of-europe-and-china-so-far
> 
> 
> Comment:
> 
> 
> Now that this nasty virus has reached Asia's largest slum- Dharavi in Mumbai 
> home to over 1 million people living in close proximity,Dr. N Devadasan 
> author of the subject article in Scroll.in? may think that he spoke too soon.
> A striking thing about this virus is what my doctor told me: Tests in her 
> hospital indicated that of the 150 people who tested positive for the virus 
> almost one third were asymptomatic.Infected people are asymptomatic but 
> contagious while the virus is incubating,which could be a few days. And 
> reportedly here are infected contagious people who exhibit no symptoms. So 
> she advised me: Act like everyone you meet is contagious and stay away from 
> any gatherings like Church services. Apparently most of her Covid 19 patients 
> come from one church.
> 
> New York has been hit hard by the virus. Governor Andrew?Cuomo said the other 
> day on National TV, New York would need at least 30,000 ventilators and 
> additional Hospital capacity. 
> So it is interesting to read an article in the New Yorker about their views 
> on what could be expected when the virus gets to India. This write up 
> includes the views of Ramanan Laxminarayan, an epidemiologist and economist 
> who directs the Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics, and Policy in 
> Washington, D.C., and who is currently in New Delhi.
> https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/how-covid-19-will-hit-india
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 

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