Interesting to view the link. Adds to the theory that America’s hand is behind the collapse of the Afghan Govt and the extraordinarily peaceful and organized takeover of the Taliban.
You are right Patrice, everything will return to normal shortly but if one wonders whats in it for the Taliban, here are a few pointers. 1. They saw no benefit in being a pariah state. Now they can continue milking America and other western countries for aid which they will quickly convert to arms to keep in power. 2. America promised to leave them the bulk of their armaments if they agreed to a bloodless transfer of power. The US found no use for the puppet Afghan Govt anyway. 3. The Taliban will keep close to Pakistan but will want to trade and deal with India. Pakistan is a lean hungry dog, India a fat heavy pig. If you were hungry, which would you want. Afghanistan would want both - the dog to help it and the pig to feed it. 4. The Taliban is in the middle of a fight with ISIS in its own lands. ISIS is gaining the upper hand. The Taliban is seen as corrupt by ordinary Afghan people. ISIS on the other hand while fanatic about Islam, make it a point to serve local society in various ways (like Hamas). 5. For their own distinct reasons, a lot of players in the region hate ISIS. America, obviously. Iran because ISIS hate Shias. Gulf countries feel threatened because ISIS wants to overthrow them. Pakistan because although they can be used against India, they create trouble internally and don’t listen to their ISI’s diktats. India because ISIS is always targeting them through proxy groups. The Taliban being greedy Pathans, on the other hand can be ‘managed’ by all, with money and supplies. Roland. Toronto. > On Aug 18, 2021, at 2:37 AM, patrice riemens <[email protected]> wrote: > > Aloha, > > https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20210818-escorted-by-taliban-india-s-midnight-evacuation-from-afghanistan > > Maybe you can view the videoclip also, I couldn't: > > https://www.capitalfm.co.ke/news/2021/08/escorted-by-taliban-indias-midnight-evacuation-from-afghanistan/ > > My forecast - for what it's worth: the situation will stabilise within a > small number of days, evacuations will happen in much more ordently manner > and a relative normalcy will be restored. The Talibans will re-establish > their rules but in a less dogmatic manner as during their first iteration. > Afghans wishing to leave the country will be more or less allowed to do so, > and the 'West' wil be only too happy to declare them undesirable as > 'everything is back to normal' ... > > Ciao Ciao, p+2D!
