Sep 13 Soon after the Tokyo Olympic Games were finished, I got a query from the Hindustan Times. Would I try exploring India's performance (7 medals), they asked, in terms of all the disciplines India did not enter and thus had no chance to medal in? Something numbers-driven, perhaps?
That was the broad-stroke brief, anyway. Here's what I made of it, in the paper on Sunday September 5: Olympics check: Breaking into the champions league, https://www.hindustantimes.com/lifestyle/art-culture/olympics-check-breaking-into-the-champions-league-101630749325798.html (Text below. Also attached is a PDF, with 2-3 very minor errors). Any thoughts? cheers, dilip PS: I had the title that's below, which I kind of liked. HT changed it. Still, where's my title from? PS #2: Happy birthday to the most recent addition to this mailing list! --- Half a leg, half a leg onward Seven medals. One gold, two silver, four bronze. That's India's haul from the just-concluded Tokyo Olympics. By that count, it's our best-ever Olympics, that total of seven just pipping the six medals India's athletes brought back from London in 2012. So yes, naturally there was euphoria after Tokyo - over Neeraj Chopra's gold, Mirabai Chanu's silver, the men's hockey team's bronze, PV Sindhu's bronze ... indeed, all seven medals. And yet when the dust settles, there remains a strange and familiar disquiet. I mean, you've heard, I'm sure, all the arguments - laments, more like it - about our performance at the Games over the years. In the end, it boils down to this: India has the second-largest collection of people in the world, about a sixth of humanity as a whole. We sent our biggest-ever contingent this year, 126 athletes. So why didn’t we come home with a sixth of the medals on offer in Tokyo? Instead, our seven is a tiny fraction of the over 1,000 medals that were won at the Olympics: less than 0.7%. There are other laments too. We have the resources. We produce world-class cricketers by the bushelful. Why not Olympic athletes? But of course, laments only go so far and are frustrating and unsatisfying anyway. Let's instead take a closer look at the medal counts and see if there are lessons we can learn. First, yes: there were indeed over 1000 medals on offer. 340 gold medals were awarded, so there were at least that many silver and bronze. I say "at least" because there were some events (for example, boxing) in which two athletes won bronze. Of course, there was at least one in which two athletes won gold - the men's high jump, in which Italy's Gianmarco Tamberi and Qatar's Mutaz Essa Barshim agreed to share the gold medal. Though no silver was awarded there. Still, let's use 1000 as a nice round figure of the medal count. Those 1000 were spread across a wide range of disciplines. From badminton to diving to sport climbing, rhythmic gymnastics to surfing to handball and many more, there are 40 sports listed on the Olympics website. But that's a misleading number. First, all of those have separate tracks for men and women, so it's effectively 80 separate categories we're talking about. But more than that, several of those sports have several separate events, each of which awards a medal. Take a dive into diving, for example. There's synchronised 3m springboard, synchronised 10m platform, 3m springboard and 10m platform - four different medal events. Or take a dive into swimming. I won't list the 35 different medal events, just these three examples: 50m freestyle, 200m backstroke, 4x100m medley relay. Note I haven't even mentioned artistic and marathon swimming, both listed separately from swimming itself. And take a look at athletics: 48 medal events that played out on the track and field inside that Olympic stadium. (Well, except the marathons that meandered outside the stadium.) >From the 87 events alluded to in that last paragraph, India brought home precisely one medal: Neeraj Chopra's gold in throwing the javelin. Let that sink in for a few seconds. I'm not saying India did not enter the other 86 events. We did. Take athletics: We had Kamalpreet Kaur throwing the discus, Dutee Chand in the 100m. In the javelin event, Shivpal Singh was India's other competitor, though he failed to make the final. Muhammad Anas Yahiya, Noah Nirmal Tom, Arokia Rajiv and Amoj Jacob ran a super 4x400m heat and came agonizingly close to qualifying for the final. We had a total of 25 entries - 8 women, 17 men - in the athletics events. Take swimming: India's Sajan Prakash swam in the second heat of both the 100m and 200m butterfly event. There are 8 heats, and the best 16 times qualify for the semifinal. In the 100m, Prakash knew by the fifth heat that he would not qualify: 22 swimmers were faster. In the 200m, 16 were faster by the fourth heat. Maana Patel swam in the first heat of the 100m backstroke; by the 4th she knew she would not progress. Similarly for Srihari Nataraj in the 100m backstroke. Take diving: well, India had no diving entries to begin with. Oops. The point here is not to mourn the lack of success of all these athletes; by my reckoning, their very qualification for the Olympics is remarkable and they deserve our respect. Instead, I've been wondering why India has negligible or no presence in so many events. It's true that no Indian qualified in several events. But what if there were Indians who did qualify? Leave aside the regular Olympic powerhouse countries like the USA, China and Great Britain - they have years of Olympic success to draw on. Take just the other countries that won 7 medals in Tokyo, like us: Iran, Belgium, Belarus, Austria and Azerbaijan. In fact, Iran and Belgium won more gold medals, and Belarus more silver, than India. All have much smaller populations than India's (combined, they have 123 million, less than a tenth of India). Just going by that population difference, why didn't we bring home more medals than they did? Part of the answer to that, I believe, is in our participation itself. To the athletics competition alone, consider that to compare with India's 25, Belarus sent 30 men and women, Greece 20, Kenya 40, Turkey 24 and Ukraine 40. Even Romania sent 9. Again, all are much smaller countries than India. Yet they had clearly focused enough on athletics to have those kinds of numbers qualify for the Olympics. What if India had managed twice or thrice the qualifications - 50 to 75 athletes - than we did? That is, what if we had focused enough on athletics over the last several years to earn that many qualifications, across several different track and field events, perhaps even all 48? In addition to Neeraj Chopra's gold, how many of those 144 medals (48 x 3) might have come our way? As things stand, 143 certainly didn't come our way. Maybe you're not persuaded by this. Our athletics squad of 25 was not a trivial number, after all. But maybe three is; meaning, our three swimmers. Well, to the swimming competition alone, Argentina sent 4 men and women, Serbia 7, Austria 7, Mexico 3, Lithuania 6. Yes, even Romania sent 4 and Madagascar 2. (And yes, I've not mentioned the dozens of swimmers from swimming powers like the USA, Australia and China.) When even Madagascar can find two swimmers of Olympic class, why is India unable to find more than three? Think of the number of swimming medals India did not win - not just because our swimmers finished fourth or lower, but also and largely because we didn't have a swimmer in the pool at all. That number is 105. And again, we didn't have a diver on the boards at all in the four diving events. 12 diving medals, altogether out of India's reach. Add those numbers up: 260 medals that India missed, mostly because we didn't have the athletes to vie for them. 260, out of 1000: over 25 percent. Or again, if you think India did have a reasonable presence in athletics, stick to just swimming and diving: 113 medals which we stood no chance of winning because we didn't have swimmers and divers competing. Over 10 percent of the kitty. >From analyzing just those three categories of events, it's as if India set off for Tokyo with somewhere between 10% and 25% of a metaphorical leg shot off. So even before our athletes could test themselves against the world's best, that many of the prizes, practically by definition, were out of India's reach. That metaphorical leg was actually even shorter. Much shorter. India had zero athletes in Tokyo in every one of these Olympic disciplines: * Artistic swimming (6 medals) * Baseball and softball (6) * Football (6) * Handball (6) * Marathon swimming (6) * Modern Pentathlon (6) * Rhythmic Gymnastics (6) * Rugby Sevens (6) * Sport Climbing (6) * Surfing (6) * Trampoline Gymnastics (6) * Waterpolo (6) * Triathlon (9) * Basketball and 3x3 basketball (12) * Canoe slalom (12) * Skateboarding (12) * Volleyball and beach Volleyball (12) * Karate (24) * Taekwondo (24) * Canoe sprint (36) * Five different cycling events (66) That's 279 more medals, nearly 28% of the total, that India could not have won, simply because we did not have anyone representing us in that competition. So you see, we actually went to Tokyo with somewhere between 38% and 53% of that metaphorical leg shot off. Let's just say, pretty much half a leg. The point of all this? One, that we should evaluate the seven medals India won in this light. We actually competed not for 1000 medals, but about 500. But two, if we want greater Olympic success in the future, why not put some or all of these other Olympic sports on our radar? For example, plenty of Indians already play rugby and volleyball, waterpolo and basketball at tournament level; many learn karate and taekwondo; serious cycling is visibly on the increase in our cities, as is skateboarding (the recent film "Skater Girl" is even loosely based on the life of a village girl who takes to skateboarding). Handball and climbing should be relatively easy to set up facilities for. The pentathlon comprises fencing, equestrian show jumping, swimming, shooting and running - all of which we had athletes competing in, in Tokyo. We also had rowing entries in Tokyo, so you'd think canoeing is not a huge stretch. In gymnastics, we remember Dipa Karmakar competing in the Rio Olympics in 2016, so there's at least that experience to draw on, if we want to nurture more world-class gymnasts. In other words, when it comes to producing Olympic athletes in all the sports we currently have no presence in, it's hard to see what other obstacle stands in the way of this vast country, except the will and the backing such athletes will need. Those are obstacles, come to think of it. Still: it's time, I'd say, to stop shooting off parts of that metaphorical leg. --- Take a quick look at three other sports India took a shot at - in a manner of speaking - in Tokyo: Fencing Bhavani Devi was the first-ever Indian fencer to qualify for the Olympics. She won her Round of 64 Women's Sabre match against Tunisia's Nadia Ben Azizi, then lost her round of 32 match against France's Manon Brunet, who went on to win bronze. The 36 fencing medals were shared among 13 countries. But plenty more countries entered the competition. Argentina and Azerbaijan were like India, with just one entry and no medals. But Estonia entered just 4 women who won 2 medals. That fact, and Bhavani's opening win, hold out hope for India in this elegant sport. Rowing Arjun Lal Jat and Arvind Singh were the Indian entry in the Lightweight Men's Double Sculls event. They competed in 4 races altogether, finishing 11th out of 18 teams that participated. India has sent rowers to every Olympics this century (never before) and this was the closest any Indian has come to winning a medal. Sailing Nethra Kumanan was the first woman sailor from India to qualify for the Olympic Games, this year. Judo Shushila Devi Likmabam, India's only judoka in Tokyo, lost her first match (round of 32) against Eva Csernoviczki of Hungary. Indian judokas have competed at every Olympic Games since 1992. This is our record: Barcelona 1992: Sent 1 woman and 4 men. 2 reached the round of 16 and lost. Atlanta 1996: 2 women, 2 men. 2 reached the round of 16 and lost. Sydney 2000: 1 woman. She lost in the round of 16. Athens 2004: 1 man. He lost in the round of 16 (repechage). Beijing 2008: 2 women. 1 lost in the round of 32, 1 in the round of 16 (repechage). London 2012: 1 woman. She lost in the round of 32. Rio 2016: 1 man. He lost in the round of 32. Thus Likmabam's Tokyo performance is about par for the course, for India. And finally: India has never qualified for the Olympics in volleyball, rugby, handball and taekwondo. Again, this should be seen as Olympic opportunities galore, for India. -- My book with Joy Ma: "The Deoliwallahs" Twitter: @DeathEndsFun Death Ends Fun: http://dcubed.blogspot.com -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Dilip's essays" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web, visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/dilips-essays/CAEiMe8oqCSt7zY-_-bFZ4pp1%3DjjLOwJNetH7wQeDeGodxV7AXQ%40mail.gmail.com.
