a must Read article

Piggybacking on the goal of reducing carbon emissions, multilateral
banks are aggressively re-orienting their lending priorities. They are
once again advocating big hydro projects and nuclear energy to
mitigate the effects of climate change in transition countries like
India and China


Big dams and nuclear energy make a backdoor entry

By Richard Mahapatra


http://www.infochangeindia.org/analysis123.jsp

Piggybacking on the goal of reducing carbon emissions, multilateral
banks are aggressively re-orienting their lending priorities. On April
23, the World Bank will discuss a confidential report that advocates
big hydro projects and nuclear energy to mitigate the effects of
climate change in transition countries like India and China
        


Far away from the current impasse over the Sardar Sarovar dam project
in India, decision-makers at the World Bank (WB) are swiftly pushing
for big hydropower projects in Washington. The World Bank is also
talking about lending for nuclear power projects.

In the early-1990s, the Narmada Bachao Andolan (NBA) campaign against
the WB-funded Sardar Sarovar Project forced the Bank to stop funding
the project. Since then, the WB has been reluctant to lend for big
projects.

Closer home, the Asian Development Bank (ADB), a regional multilateral
development bank based in Manila, Philippines, is also seriously
considering lending for high-risk big hydropower projects, and is also
talking about lending for nuclear power projects.

The return of multilateral development banks to lending for big dam
projects, and their reversal of the principle of not lending for
nuclear power projects, piggybacks on the goal of reducing carbon
emissions to mitigate climate change.

These banks are aggressively re-orienting their lending priorities to
allow them to capture the multi-billion-dollar carbon market as well
as increase lending in transition countries like India, China and
Brazil. The WB and the ADB are trying hard to stay relevant in big
borrower countries like India and China. And, given the enormous
energy needs of these fast-growing economies, the energy sector is
turning out to be a priority sector for multilateral development
banks. The threat of climate change only facilitates this process.

On April 23, in Washington, the Development Committee, a senior
decision-making body of the World Bank, will debate a confidential
report titled 'Clean Energy and Development: Towards An Investment
Framework'. This comprehensive report strongly advocates multilateral
development banks lending for big hydropower projects and nuclear
power, to help reduce carbon emissions. It also accepts nuclear energy
as a viable clean energy source that needs to be encouraged. The
report focuses on transition countries like India and China.

The development committee will debate the report on April 23, at the
spring meeting of the World Bank in Washington -- a debate that will
lay the ground for the framework to be approved at the WB-IMF annual
meeting in September this year.

The report is a comprehensive and radical assertion of lending for big
hydropower and nuclear projects, as insurance against climate change.
Although it claims that its suggestions are not WB-centric, it does
point to the Bank's future lending areas.

The report, which was put together in consultation with officials from
India, Brazil, China and South Africa, can be safely said to reflect
the governments' priorities in lowering carbon emissions.

It suggests a 'fast two-track' approach to developing an investment
framework for clean energy to reduce carbon emissions. Interestingly,
despite the fact that developed countries are the biggest polluters,
with the US alone contributing 25% of greenhouse gases, the report
prescribes carbon reductions for developing countries. It sees
developing countries as the place where most carbon reduction
activities will have to take place. This can be interpreted as the
World Bank seeking opportunities for lending (after all, developed
countries don't borrow from the Bank).

At the summit of the Group of Eight (G8) most industrialised nations,
in Gleneagles, Scotland, last July, the World Bank was asked to
propose a plan for a global transition to a sustainable energy future
that would support energy sector expansion towards the ultimate goals
of economic growth and poverty reduction. The G8 gave the World Bank
the mandate to "take a leadership role in creating a new framework for
clean energy and development".

The report identifies and emphasises that big hydropower projects and
nuclear energy are two 'feasible and economically viable' options for
reducing carbon emissions. It describes nuclear energy as a clean and
efficient energy and clubs it with other renewable sources like wind
power.

The document adds that financing options should be 'fast-tracked' and
completed by September 2006, which is when the WB-IMF annual meeting
will discuss and finalise it.

Charting out an agenda to attain the above objective, it suggests that
its own financial strength and that of other international financial
institutions (IFIs) should be explored, to start with. And as a
strategy to reduce carbon emissions quickly, it prescribes the
exploration of new sources like nuclear and big hydropower projects.

The World Bank has historically been the single largest financer of
large dams worldwide, providing an average of around $ 1.25 billion a
year for big dams over the past 60 years -- five times more than
current lending for clean, renewable energy. The report shows that 60%
of the Bank's supposed support for renewable energy and energy
efficiency (RE and EE) is, in fact, for big hydro projects.

In its annexure, the report details the carbon reduction activities of
specific countries. For India, it says that the government is pushing
for big hydro projects along with nuclear energy. The report's authors
consulted extensively with Indian officials, including the energy
ministry and the Planning Commission. India is the fifth largest
emitter of carbon related to fossil fuels, after the US, China, Russia
and Japan. It contributes 4.2% of the world's total carbon dioxide.
Eighty per cent of India's electricity comes from thermal sources,
thus making it one of the largest producers of greenhouse gases. The
report is very specific in its prescription for India: "…opportunities
to reduce the GHG intensity of the power sector is to shift the
balance of production towards more diversified and cleaner sources.
The latter include a mix of large and small hydro (projects)…."

For India, the World Bank has already made clear its intention to lend
for big projects; this confidential report carries this intention
forward. The foray back into large dams in India comes close on the
heels of the Bank's approval of an Infrastructure Action Plan (IAP) in
July 2003. The plan aims to increase Bank support for what it terms
"high risk/high reward" infrastructure projects such as large dams,
over the next two years. As part of the IAP, the World Bank recently
announced a doubling of its lending to India, predominantly for
projects in the power, water and transport sectors. On April 25, the
Bank's development committee, at the spring meeting in Washington DC,
will discuss the implementation of this plan.

The carbon rush

Meanwhile, the ADB is going to review its energy policy adopted in
1995. According to a high-level official at the ADB: "We are not sure
whether we will be lending for nuclear power projects, as currently we
don't have any request for lending. But definitely this year we will
be talking about it." The ADB is one of the World Bank's key partners
in its clean energy development programme. "Nuclear power generation
is a proven technology that provides about 20% of the world's
electricity production. There is, however, widespread public concern
about the safety of nuclear power operations and waste disposal
methods," reads the energy policy. In its 1995 energy policy, the ADB
states that based on concerns of transfer of nuclear technology,
proliferation risks and environmental and safety aspects, the ADB
would not support nuclear power. However, the 2000 review papers of
the policy don't mention this.

Sources say that given requests from big borrowers like India and
China, the ADB may consider starting a debate on it. Meanwhile, the
ADB is now definitely open to lending for big hydropower projects. It
has announced a $ 2 billion a year credit line for water-related
projects; the World Bank had already done so in 2004. Both pitch for
large centralised projects.

Of late, multilateral development banks like the World Bank and the
ADB have become the new trustees of climate. Over the last five years,
they have seriously pursued the carbon market. The World Bank
coordinates all such activities; this latest report is one way of
establishing its primacy in this field. The G8 asked the World Bank to
prepare this report last December. Over the past five years, banks
like the World Bank, the ADB, the African Development Bank, the
European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, European Investment
Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank have invested over $ 17
billion in projects that directly or indirectly contribute to lowering
carbon emissions in developing countries.

Both the World Bank and the ADB now manage carbon funds worth close to
$ 5 billion. The former is managing eight carbon funds as trustee,
where various countries contribute. The ADB is managing four funds
under its Renewable Energy, Energy Efficiency and Climate Change
(REACH) programme.

The catch is that the International Energy Association estimates that
a total capital investment of $ 8.1 trillion, equivalent to an average
of $ 300 billion/year, is needed from 2003 to 2030 for developing and
transitional economies to meet their energy needs. Of this,
electricity comprises roughly 73%, oil 12%, natural gas 12% and coal
3%. Of the total global greenhouse gas emissions, the energy sector
contributes 80%. Thus any carbon reduction programme has to focus on
the energy sector.

The World Bank report says that to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions
it would cost anything between $ 10 billion and $ 200 billion/year.
This offers huge opportunities to lend and do business in the name of
climate change mitigation. The focus on developing countries stems
from the fact that developed countries with carbon emission
commitments can't reduce emissions in their own countries. According
to the World Bank, in developed countries the cost of reducing one
tonne of carbon dioxide could cost between $ 15 and $ 100, while it
would be around $ 1 to $ 4 in developing countries.

(Richard Mahapatra writes on environment and development. He is based
in New Delhi)

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