http://www.alternet.org/stories/81652/?page=entire
If America Declines, Don't Expect Anyone to Talk About It

* By Kevin Phillips <http://www.alternet.org/authors/9250/>, Viking
Press<http://us.penguingroup.com/static/html/aboutus/adult/viking.html>.
Posted April 8,
2008<http://www.alternet.org/ts/archives/?date%5BF%5D=04&date%5BY%5D=2008&date%5Bd%5D=08&act=Go/>
.*

 Is our political system too far gone to even discuss the predicaments of
the volatile dollar, run-amok debt and Middle East disasters?

*The following is an excerpt from Kevin Phillips' newly-released book, "Bad
Money<http://us.penguingroup.com/nf/Book/BookDisplay/0,,9780670019076,00.html>"
(Viking, 2008).*

*Rarely in U.S. history has a president, especially a two-term president,
been so unpopular at a time when the Congress, captured in the midterm
elections by the opposition, is held in no greater regard. In such a case,
the norm is for the two to fight, with one side gaining the edge. But that
has not been true of George W. Bush and the Democratic Congress elected by
running against him in 2006.*

*The two sides have gone after each other in a fashion, but more often they
have simply talked past each other to their separate party constituencies,
repeating familiar commitments to keep the true believers on each side
somewhat more contented than the unimpressed independents -- those who bulk
so large in the 60 to 70 percent of voters convinced that the country is on
the wrong track. Most office holders on both sides seem to rest easier if
everyone stays away from uncomfortable themes, even ones in the headlines,
like costly U.S. overreach in the Middle East; the reckless expansion of
private debt, as well as the federal budget deficit variety; the new
economic (and political) dominance of the financial sector; and the mounting
probability that the nation will have to choose between desirable energy
supplies and global warming measures. After all, what you can sidestep today
might go away tomorrow.*

*True, the public is not impressed -- "no guts" and "living in a dream
world" are frequently heard descriptions of politicians. However, most big
party contributors tend to donate based on established relationships and
sympathies or on nonideological desire for access, not on philosophical
engagement. No parallel to the simultaneous public distaste for a president
and his opposition Congress comes to mind, but then modern polling goes back
only to the 1930s. Let me stipulate: despite the obvious salience of
predicaments like oil, climate, the volatile dollar, run-amok debt and
credit, the housing bubble, and imperial overinvolvement in the Middle East,
I would be the last to say that any more than 5 to 10 percent of the
electorate would favor a 2008 debate over American decline. Average voters
do not.*

*In these matters, history does not merely urge caution; it demands
skepticism -- and about both public attention and likely governmental
achievement. It is necessary to consider two other symptoms of weak, even
failed U.S. politics: the entrenchment in Washington of a staggering array
of interest groups, which has engendered a soulless political dynamic of
perpetually raising and dispersing campaign funds; and the further,
bipartisan trend toward what can only be called a politics of inheritance
and dynasty.*

*Money politics and entrenched interests*

*The English-speaking peoples, when filling in new lands, had a certain
naviete about the power of entrenched interests and how these could be
subdued by locating a political capital in a remote federal preserve far
from the existing centers of (corrupting) urbanity and wealth. The capitals
were thus located in backwaters at a time when geography trumped media
(Washington, D.C., Ottawa, and Canberra); but today, those names have become
shorthand in their respective electorates for (1) metropolitan areas with
strikingly high (and recession-resistant) per capita incomes; and (2)
hothouses of seething interest-group concentration where elected
representatives, shedding whatever grassroots fealty they may once have
possessed, often train to retire after ten or twelve years to triple or even
quintuple their salaries by becoming lobbyists.*

*As an aspiring theorist four decades ago, I developed a belief that the
realignments seen in U.S. presidential politics every generation or so had
an (idealized) cleaning-up component. The victors, with a mandate of sorts
from an annoyed electorate rearranged in new party coalitions, came to the
capital city and purged it of the used-up elites of the crowd that had just
been voted out. Some of that occurred after Thomas Jefferson's election in
1800, Andrew Jackson's in 1828, Abraham Lincoln's in 1860, and Franklin D.
Roosevelt's in 1932.*

*At any rate, it didn't happen after the 1968 election, although Republicans
held the White House for twenty of the next twenty-four years. And it
certainly hasn't happened since. Congress and the White House have been in
the hands of different parties two-thirds of the time since 1968, so the
United States has progressed to a new kind of interest-group influence: the
simultaneous entrenchment in Washington of the used-up,
don't-want-to-go-back-to-Peoria elites of both major parties. This electoral
duopoly is in turn protected by various state and federal election and
campaign-finance laws that make it hard for new parties to take hold or
flourish. It's not that there aren't differences between the parties; it's
just that they are limited differences and ones often reflecting cultural
polarization.*

*In the early 1980s, an American sociologist by the name of Mancur Olson
published a book called The Rise and Decline and Nations. Its thesis was
that decline comes because after many years of success, a nation's political
and economic arteries get so clogged with special-interest groups that its
life-giving circulation of ideas and elites is impaired. Countries that are
beaten in wars and occupied receive a new lease on life because their old
interest-group structures get uprooted. He dwelled on Britain, the United
States, Australia, and New Zealand, none successfully invaded or occupied
over the last few centuries, as examples of impaired political and economic
circulation. Olson misjudged the links between inflation and political
failure, but his interest-group focus may have a partial utility in
explaining political and governmental entrenchment and decline.*

*If one goes back and looks at the capital cities of the four previous
leading world economic powers, in later eras attempts were made to divide,
abandon, or relocate them. Capitals in both Rome and Spain were relocated --
in the fifth century A.D. the Roman capital moved to Ravenna, and Spain's
for a while moved from Madrid to Valladolid. Concern about elites that were
calcified and verging on permanence worried people then, too.*

*Parties and factions can also run out of creativity. British party politics
was chaotic in the decades between the two world wars, which limited
innovation and complicated any prospect of renewal. There is little more to
be said for U.S. party politics in the early 2000s. The Republicans were
discredited by eight years of failure in war, diplomacy, and fiscal honesty,
and the Democrats won no laurel wreaths for effective opposition.
Institutionally, the 180-year-old Democratic Party and the 150-year-old
Republican Party have, over the last 40 years, uprooted themselves from what
were their constituencies and allegiances as late as the 1960s.*

*Gone on the Democratic side is the southern and western geography of
opposition to northeastern financial elites under the aegis of Thomas
Jefferson and Andrew Jackson, Franklin D. Roosevelt and Harry S. Truman.
Instead, there is a new Democratic politics of new national elites --
financial, high-tech, and communications. The Republicans, in turn, have
lost many of their old, post-Civil War northern and western constituencies
and biases, turning to the South and the interior West and a combination of
old-line northern business elites and the Sun Belt power structure so
ascendant in the late twentieth century. For both parties, the bottom line
is usually the same: the bottom line. Fund-raising. Money. Comparative
rootlessness makes it easy.*

*Reprinted by arrangement with Viking, a member of the Penguin Group (USA)
Inc., from Bad Money by Kevin Phillips.*

* *

*Copyright (c) 2008 by Kevin Phillips*
* *

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*See more stories tagged with: decline<http://www.alternet.org/tags/decline/>,
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*Kevin Phillips is the author of many books, most recently, "Bad
Money<http://us.penguingroup.com/nf/Book/BookDisplay/0,,9780670019076,00.html>"
(Viking, 2008).*

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