The Palin effect: white women now deserting Obama, says survey.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/lifeandstyle/2008/sep/10/women.uselections2008

White women voters are deserting the Democratic presidential candidate
Barack Obama because of the sudden emergence on the Republican ticket of
Sarah Palin, according to a poll yesterday.

An ABC/Washington Post survey recorded that an eight-point lead Obama held
over his Republican rival John McCain before the arrival of Palin had turned
into a 12% lead for McCain.

The trend is in line with other polls since McCain's vice-presidential
running mate ignited the Republican convention with a speech last week
espousing social conservative values and presenting herself as a small-town
mother taking on the cosmopolitan media.

McCain has taken a 3% lead in a tracking poll by the RealClearPolitics
website.

Although the momentum has shifted to McCain and Palin, the election will be
decided by independents and moderates, where Obama's domestic and foreign
programme should have the greater appeal.

However, the loss of support among white women could be fatal for his
chances of winning the presidency if it was to be sustained. Obama had upset
this constituency before the conventions, with many Democratic women unhappy
that he had dumped their champion, Hillary Clinton, out of the nomination
race.

McCain received another boost when Rupert Murdoch's New York Post backed him
in a front-page editorial. Earlier this year, Murdoch, who has extensive
media outlets across the US, had hinted of support for Obama.

Palin campaigned with McCain again yesterday, before taking off on her own
for what is likely to be a tumultuous return to her home state, Alaska. She
is not only bringing in the crowds but also the funding. McCain said a
single fundraising event in Chicago had brought in $4m.

The Democrats were initially uncertain about how to respond to Palin, but
Obama, in recognition of her impact, now devotes almost as much time to
attacking her as he does McCain.

At a rally on Monday, he ran through her CV: "Mother, governor, moose
shooter. That's cool," he said. But he went on to say that voters had to
look beyond and study her record as a Republican to see that she would
amount to a continuation of the policies pursued by President George Bush
over the past eight years.

Obama's campaign manager, David Plouffe, acknowledged she had energised the
Republican base but said the crux question was whether she would succeed in
reaching out to independents in the run-up to the election on November 4.

Obama's campaign team are continuing to go through her political record in
Alaska, in particular her initial support for the Bridge to Nowhere, a $400m
link to an island with a population of just 50. She later switched to
opposition of the project. Obama said: "You can't just reinvent yourself.
The American people aren't stupid. What they are looking for is someone who
has consistently been calling for change."

A BBC poll published today will show that, despite the tightness of the race
in the US, Obama is the overwhelming favourite in 22 countries. He is
preferred to McCain by a four to one margin on average across the 22,000
people polled.

The margin in favour of Obama ranges from just 9% in India to 82% in Kenya.
On average 49% prefer Obama to 12% preferring McCain. Nearly four in 10 do
not take a position

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